National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div III Men's Foil

Monday, July 12, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 40%
2 VERSTEELE Sander 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 34%
3 SHIN Joshua J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
3 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
5 NUNNINK Phillip W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 62%
6 ACHILOV Sayid 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 23%
7 BROWN Alexander R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 13%
8 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 30%
9 SZEGO Bence P. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
10 ORVANANOS Jorge 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 17%
11 STRAYER Andrew 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
12 FINLEY Dylan 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
13 BRYANT Max 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
14 KUO Evan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
15 PATINO Yahir 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 6%
16 LIGH Thomas 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% -
17 GAUTAM Vishnu 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
18 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 24%
19 LEE Lukas 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7%
20 LIM Charles Q. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
21 ZEFF Mati 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
22 SODERBERG Alex Z. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
23 MENG Zhaoyi 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
24 DE COQUET Maximilian 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2%
25 ZHAO Dylan L. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
26 GUTHRIE Liam J. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
27 JI Evan 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
28 CANO Marcos E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
29 LUNA Emilio 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
30 PRASANNA Advaith 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
31 MONTALBINE Aidan 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
32 HAN Lawrence 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
33 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
34 GALLUCCI Charles John 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
35 QI Steve 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
36 KIM Jackson 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
36 GONG Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
38 VAZQUEZ Sebastian A. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
39 GOLDADE Luke A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 22%
40 HUANG Kevin D. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
41 JI Aidan Y. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
42 PITERBARG Maxim 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
43 GOGOI Vir K. 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
44 LOVIN Vlad 100% 100% 96% 75% 32% 5%
45 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 7%
46 KHER Roan 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
47 WHEELOCK Bryan M. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
48 PETERSON Dale 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
49 WEI William 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
50 XU Mathu Yang 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
51 KLEIN Sebastian W. 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
52 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 5%
53 LI Arvin 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6%
54 LIU Eric Y. 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
55 WU Conrad J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
56 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
57 ZACHARY Zane 100% 93% 61% 23% 5% - -
58 BROWN Darius D. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
59 WOMACH Tristan 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
60 LLIDO Soren 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 2%
61 ELIAS Stephen 100% 100% 98% 83% 40% 8% 1%
62 MILLER Jordan 100% 99% 91% 66% 33% 9% 1%
63 SANTOS Carlos R. 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1%
64 ORTEGA Jose-Arnel 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
65 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
66 BERNABE Rafael 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
67 CHUNG Yeongbin 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
68 SELL Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 14%
69 CHUFONG-SPRAGUE Matthew 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
70 BLAM Matthew 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
71 MADSEN Jr Eric W. 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 5% -
72 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 25% 3%
73 NABI Masoud Masoud W. 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4%
74 IVANENKO Alex 100% 92% 61% 21% 2% -
75 MO Jason 100% 98% 86% 53% 16% 1%
76 HONG Issac 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
77 COLLUM Thomas 100% 88% 53% 16% 2% -
78 FURST Matthew C. 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 30% 6%
78 ROSS III Paul D. 100% 99% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1%
80 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
81 WERWA Griffith 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
82 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
83 LIM Lance Jeremiah 100% 95% 53% 11% 1% - -
84 CAI Oliver K. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
85 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
86 MILLER Chance 100% 98% 86% 55% 23% 5% -
87 SCHALES Peyton 100% 99% 91% 66% 33% 9% 1%
88 JEFFERY Jakob 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
89 PLASTARAS Trey 100% 97% 77% 43% 14% 3% -
90 PATRICK Edward L. 100% 97% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
91 GATRELL Mitchell E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
92 TEH Ryan 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 5% -
93 LI Lianhao 100% 66% 21% 3% - -
94 WOHLERS Trevor 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% -
95 POIROT Max 100% 49% 12% 1% - -
96 DALBERG Anders 100% 95% 62% 23% 5% 1% -
97 GALLER Dave 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
98 KLYCZEK Andrew 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 6% 1%
99 HARRIS Otto 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
100 HAW Keith F. 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
100 HARRIS Rhonen 100% 94% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
100 PALWAI Suhas 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
103 TSIMMERMAN Michael 100% 99% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
104 WOODTHORPE Michael G. 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
105 WANG Brayden 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
106 TOMASI John 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
107 PAEZ Joshua 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
108 DURHAM Porter 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
108 CURTIS William K. 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 2%
110 AMRANI David 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
111 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
112 JIN Dennis H. 100% 92% 61% 22% 3% -
113 BOSSONG Reagan 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
114 GOING Nicholas (Nick) S. 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
115 PROCOPIO Gregory M. 100% 81% 37% 7% 1% -
116 ARANA Massimo 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% -
117 STOCKDALE Alexander 100% 94% 67% 30% 6% -
118 ELLINGTON Keegan A. 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
119 DREW Nicolas 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
119 QUINN Nathan 100% 33% 5% - - - -
121 POPE Alexander 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
122 WIEGAND-SHAHANI Braden M. 100% 97% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
123 CUTLER Andrew 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
124 VALENTON Timothy 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
125 HOANG Michael 100% 97% 67% 21% 3% - -
126 LIU Lawrence 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
127 LEE Alex 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
128 FABRI Mitchell 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
129 LA BARR Edward T. 100% 89% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
130 XIANG Siyuan 100% 26% 2% - - - -
131 BOUSSY Luciano 100% 98% 82% 45% 11% 1%
132 DRESSEL Jet 100% 93% 63% 20% 3% -
133 BARRETT Austin 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
134 DORMAN Patrick 100% 66% 24% 5% - -
135 QUINTERO Julian 100% 60% 20% 4% - - -
135 HOGAN Gideon 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
137 CHOI Simon 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
137 FLORES Justin 100% 90% 54% 17% 2% - -
139 BROWN Jason 100% 85% 48% 15% 3% - -
139 GRESENS Jacob 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
141 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.