National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div III Women's Épée

Monday, July 12, 2021 at 12:45 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NORCONK Claire R. - - - 6% 33% 60%
2 KORFONTA Jolie - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
3 BONDAR Nika - 2% 9% 23% 34% 25% 7%
3 FENG ge - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
5 WITTE Vera - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
6 YANG Chloe - 1% 7% 23% 41% 28%
7 GUJJA Misha - 3% 15% 30% 32% 17% 3%
8 LEE Yedda - - 2% 11% 28% 37% 20%
9 BOK Michelle - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
10 MCSHINE Katelyn H. - 2% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
11 YOU Emily 1% 9% 26% 33% 22% 8% 1%
12 CHERNYSHOVA Victoria - 2% 14% 33% 36% 14%
13 PALANSKI Cate - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
14 ANDERSON Claire - 5% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
15 HABERMAN Hailey 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
16 RAINEY Zoe-Andrea 1% 13% 34% 36% 15% 2%
17 PECK Maia A. - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
18 CHANG Ella 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
19 CAPELLUA Mariasole - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 21%
20 TAYLOR Beth - 1% 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
21 MORIN Jenna - 2% 9% 25% 34% 24% 6%
22 DOERR Zoe 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
23 LEE Kaitlyn M. - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
24 HUANG NATALIE - 6% 22% 37% 28% 8%
25 POPOVICI Alina B. - 2% 14% 36% 37% 11%
26 LESPERANCE Jordan 6% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
27 LIU Nicole - 3% 19% 42% 30% 6%
28 PRIHODKO Nina 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3%
29 FURMAN Maria - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
30 CAVANAUGH Evelyn R. - 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3%
31 NGUYEN Audrey 1% 10% 25% 32% 23% 8% 1%
32 ZENG Katrina 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
33 LONADIER Keira - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
34 BENZAN India - 4% 25% 43% 25% 3%
35 UPHAM Karolyn 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
36 DUARTE-GARCIA Zoya A. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
37 SCHULTZ Gillian - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
38 PEARSON Heila - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
39 GROSSL Karina - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
40 MCGEE Sophia - 3% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
41 MILEWSKI Samantha - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
41 MURDOCH ROY Grace 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
43 APPLEBEE Andralyn 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
44 ROWLAND May 6% 34% 39% 17% 3% -
45 ABRAMSON Mariela R. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
46 HICKS Grace - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
47 LI Alisha - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
48 BOLES Savvianna 1% 7% 21% 32% 27% 11% 2%
49 SHEIN Evita 17% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
50 EGENOLF Gabriella 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
51 KRUMHOLZ Nicole 1% 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
52 HILLYER Megan 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% 1% -
53 HAMILTON Nina M. 1% 9% 25% 34% 22% 7% 1%
54 WIESSLER-HUGHES Linda - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
55 SCHAFF Marlene M. - 2% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
56 MACEDON Gianna 13% 36% 35% 13% 2% - -
57 TAN Jocelyn 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
58 CAI Catelynn 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
59 FLANIGAN KENDRA 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
60 PARKS Eliana 12% 31% 33% 18% 6% 1% -
61 XU Katelyn 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
62 HIRSCH Naomi B. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 1%
63 KANEVSKY Samantha - 11% 35% 37% 15% 2%
64 SAINT-PHARD Shana 5% 28% 39% 22% 6% 1%
65 NAROTZKY Emma - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
66 BYBEE Lucy J. 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
67 ZOU Jiayi-Hannah 55% 38% 7% - - -
68 ARAYE Nasro - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
69 RIST Rebecca (Beck) J. 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
70 NEELAM Neha 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
71 SHUKLA Tanya 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
72 NOLLNER Jennifer R. 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
73 HAYDEN Molly 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
74 CHANG Ella 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1%
75 GELMAN Emily 50% 38% 11% 2% - -
76 DONDISCH Andrea 40% 44% 14% 2% - -
77 MEZACK Nicole 9% 37% 39% 13% 2% - -
77 MANDAP Svetlanna 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
79 BARREIRO Katrina 34% 41% 19% 5% 1% - -
80 SOTELO Michelle 3% 21% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
81 BENJAMIN Stephanie 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
81 LEWIS Rachel 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
83 TOFFELMIRE Amelia A. - < 1% 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
84 SHICK Klaudia 2% 14% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
84 UNGURIANU Nika 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
86 DANNHAUSER Carol A. 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
86 FRIEDLANDER Sarah 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
86 KIM Lynne 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
89 AUCHTERLONIE Seven 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
90 MAGALSKI Mary 12% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
91 GARTNER Kacie 13% 35% 33% 15% 4% - -
92 RYDMAN Grace 8% 36% 42% 12% 1% -
93 STECKMEISTER Evelyn 7% 30% 42% 19% 2% -
94 CAPEZZA Olivia 28% 40% 24% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.