National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div III Women's Épée

Monday, July 12, 2021 at 12:45 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NORCONK Claire R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60%
2 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
3 BONDAR Nika 100% 100% 98% 89% 66% 32% 7%
3 FENG ge 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
5 WITTE Vera 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 47% 13%
6 YANG Chloe 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
7 GUJJA Misha 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
8 LEE Yedda 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 20%
9 BOK Michelle 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
10 MCSHINE Katelyn H. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
11 YOU Emily 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
12 CHERNYSHOVA Victoria 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14%
13 PALANSKI Cate 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
14 ANDERSON Claire 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1%
15 HABERMAN Hailey 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
16 RAINEY Zoe-Andrea 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2%
17 PECK Maia A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 11%
18 CHANG Ella 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
19 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 21%
20 TAYLOR Beth 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
21 MORIN Jenna 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
22 DOERR Zoe 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 8% 1%
23 LEE Kaitlyn M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 33% 8%
24 HUANG NATALIE 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8%
25 POPOVICI Alina B. 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
26 LESPERANCE Jordan 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
27 LIU Nicole 100% 100% 97% 78% 36% 6%
28 PRIHODKO Nina 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3%
29 FURMAN Maria 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
30 CAVANAUGH Evelyn R. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 3%
31 NGUYEN Audrey 100% 99% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
32 ZENG Katrina 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 9% 1%
33 LONADIER Keira 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
34 BENZAN India 100% 100% 96% 71% 28% 3%
35 UPHAM Karolyn 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
36 DUARTE-GARCIA Zoya A. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
37 SCHULTZ Gillian 100% 100% 98% 91% 68% 34% 8%
38 PEARSON Heila 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
39 GROSSL Karina 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
40 MCGEE Sophia 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
41 MILEWSKI Samantha 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 16% 2%
41 MURDOCH ROY Grace 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
43 APPLEBEE Andralyn 100% 98% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
44 ROWLAND May 100% 94% 60% 21% 4% -
45 ABRAMSON Mariela R. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
46 HICKS Grace 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
47 LI Alisha 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
48 BOLES Savvianna 100% 99% 92% 72% 39% 13% 2%
49 SHEIN Evita 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
50 EGENOLF Gabriella 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
51 KRUMHOLZ Nicole 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
52 HILLYER Megan 100% 86% 52% 20% 5% 1% -
53 HAMILTON Nina M. 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 8% 1%
54 WIESSLER-HUGHES Linda 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 3%
55 SCHAFF Marlene M. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
56 MACEDON Gianna 100% 87% 51% 16% 3% - -
57 TAN Jocelyn 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 7% 1%
58 CAI Catelynn 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
59 FLANIGAN KENDRA 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
60 PARKS Eliana 100% 88% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
61 XU Katelyn 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
62 HIRSCH Naomi B. 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 1%
63 KANEVSKY Samantha 100% 100% 89% 54% 17% 2%
64 SAINT-PHARD Shana 100% 95% 68% 29% 7% 1%
65 NAROTZKY Emma 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
66 BYBEE Lucy J. 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
67 ZOU Jiayi-Hannah 100% 45% 7% - - -
68 ARAYE Nasro 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 22% 3%
69 RIST Rebecca (Beck) J. 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
70 NEELAM Neha 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
71 SHUKLA Tanya 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
72 NOLLNER Jennifer R. 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
73 HAYDEN Molly 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 3%
74 CHANG Ella 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1%
75 GELMAN Emily 100% 50% 13% 2% - -
76 DONDISCH Andrea 100% 60% 15% 2% - -
77 MEZACK Nicole 100% 91% 54% 15% 2% - -
77 MANDAP Svetlanna 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
79 BARREIRO Katrina 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
80 SOTELO Michelle 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
81 BENJAMIN Stephanie 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
81 LEWIS Rachel 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 2% -
83 TOFFELMIRE Amelia A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
84 SHICK Klaudia 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
84 UNGURIANU Nika 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
86 DANNHAUSER Carol A. 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
86 FRIEDLANDER Sarah 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
86 KIM Lynne 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
89 AUCHTERLONIE Seven 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
90 MAGALSKI Mary 100% 88% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
91 GARTNER Kacie 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
92 RYDMAN Grace 100% 92% 56% 13% 1% -
93 STECKMEISTER Evelyn 100% 93% 63% 21% 2% -
94 CAPEZZA Olivia 100% 72% 32% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.