Olympia FC Winter Senior Open

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, January 10, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Olympia Fencing Center - Cambridge, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HANSEN Jonas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 88%
2 VERMEULE spencer 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
3 FEINBERG Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 99% 79%
3 WU Joseph 100% 100% 95% 63% 8%
5 COLLYMORE Spencer 100% 100% 93% 64% 21%
6 GOHEL Dayus 100% 99% 89% 55% 15%
7 LONCAR Luka 100% 100% 91% 59% 20% 2%
8 LAI Coby 100% 95% 59% 19% 2%
9 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 99% 89% 54% 14% < 1%
10 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 100% 99% 82% 36%
11 MACARTY Jordan 100% 100% 95% 60% 15%
12 LANGTON Sawyer 100% 100% 96% 63% 17%
13 FELDMAN Jaemin 100% 99% 87% 50% 13%
14 BELLIVEAU Shane 100% 95% 50% 8% -
15 CHOI Mason 100% 98% 67% 17% 1%
16 JIN Owen 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 3%
17 SHAH Maximilian 100% 100% 92% 62% 22% 2%
18 PRIHODKO Max 100% 98% 67% 24% 4% -
19 BELLIVEAU Raven 100% 100% 98% 84% 43% 2%
20 SKAALAND Will 100% 97% 75% 33% 5% -
21 WU Jonathan 100% 50% 11% 1% - -
22 MORTIMER Gavin 100% 35% 5% - -
23 SPRINGER Michael 100% 54% 7% - -
24 CAFASSO Martin 100% 63% 12% 1% -
25 GERSEN Jacob 100% 90% 50% 13% 1% -
26 MACNEILL Owen 100% 20% 1% - -
27 HOLCOMB Keith 100% 14% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.