The Ohio State University Open

Senior Men's Foil

Saturday, October 2, 2021 at 12:30 PM

French Field House - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	DESERANNO Jeidus	-	-	3%	17%	43%	37%
2	WRIEDT Nathan O.	-	4%	21%	40%	29%	5%
3	NDIAYE Edriss G.	-	-	1%	10%	38%	51%
3	CULLIVAN Justice	-	3%	17%	38%	33%	9%
5	ZHANG Andy W.	-	-	1%	11%	39%	49%
6	SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T.	-	-	1%	7%	28%	49%	16%
7	ZHAO Jason L.	-	5%	26%	41%	23%	4%
8	KORABLIN Anton	-	-	-	-	5%	36%	58%
9	VOGLER Justin K.	-	-	-	6%	33%	61%
10	YANG Luao	-	-	2%	14%	43%	42%
11	BURTE Alexander J.	-	2%	11%	35%	42%	10%
12	OUELLETTE David M.	-	3%	16%	37%	34%	10%
13	WANG Eric J.	3%	23%	45%	24%	4%	-
14	CHAN Matthew	1%	9%	30%	37%	20%	3%
15	MCOWEN Peter D.	2%	15%	37%	35%	11%	1%
16	MORGAN Quinlyn (Quin) D.	1%	8%	34%	39%	16%	2%
17	FLANAGAN James	-	1%	11%	42%	40%	7%
18	ORONOWICZ Jakub	4%	27%	44%	22%	3%	-
19	WANG Michael	-	7%	27%	38%	22%	5%	-
20	GALINSKY David A.	-	10%	33%	38%	17%	2%	-
21	FREEDMAN Samuel E.	-	4%	23%	42%	27%	4%
22	TRASCHENKO POCHMARA Jacob	1%	10%	30%	38%	19%	3%
23	UPTON Craig	4%	24%	42%	26%	4%	-
24	GORDON Jacob	2%	14%	36%	34%	13%	2%
25	BOUIE Jacob	14%	51%	28%	6%	-	-
26	PALMA Matthew Dominic	-	8%	33%	39%	17%	2%	-
27	FOLINO Anthony	2%	20%	40%	29%	8%	1%	-
28	COLWELL Alexander J.	14%	37%	35%	12%	2%	-
29	DICICCO Liam	24%	45%	25%	5%	-	-
30	GNEUHS Sam	41%	48%	11%	1%	-	-
31	MCCALLEN Cade	28%	45%	22%	4%	-	-
32	LIM Lance Jeremiah	80%	19%	2%	-	-	-	-
33	CAMPBELL Justin	15%	38%	34%	12%	1%	-
34	GORDON Kenneth	20%	42%	30%	8%	1%	-
35	HABEGGER Alexander	24%	43%	26%	6%	1%	-
36	DENIHAN John	19%	39%	30%	10%	2%	-
37	KRAFT Nathan	38%	42%	17%	3%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

Want to keep up with all things fencingtracker? Join our Discord community here.