The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, December 19, 2021 at 9:00 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - - - - 5% 37% 58%
2 LING Eddie - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
3 QIAN Jason H. - - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
3 XU Andy P. - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
5 LEE Brendan - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
5 NICOLETTI Luca - - 1% 9% 31% 41% 17%
7 FUKUDA Diego - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
8 MAO Lucas - 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 5%
9 MORROW Brenden - - 1% 6% 27% 43% 23%
10 YAO Bradley - - - 2% 17% 47% 35%
11 KIAYIAS Aris - 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
12 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. - - - 3% 22% 54% 21%
13 CHENG Ethan - - 1% 8% 28% 44% 18%
14 NGUYEN martin - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
15 TANG Alexander L. - - 1% 10% 33% 40% 16%
16 ZHANG Aaron - - 1% 8% 26% 42% 24%
17 LO Preston - - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
18 DERRICK Blake - - 1% 11% 32% 39% 16%
18 PALMA Nathan Anthony - - 3% 19% 38% 31% 8%
20 LIU Ethan - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
21 TSAY Jordan R. - 4% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
22 TANG Terry 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
23 SENIC Lucas - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 23%
24 RODRIGUEZ Tyler - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
25 RUSSELL Paul - - 2% 14% 44% 33% 7%
26 YANG Charles 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
27 CHOI Ethan 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
28 CHANG Jeremy - 7% 34% 39% 17% 3% -
29 PARK Rion 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
30 RASMUSSEN Sage - - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
31 ZHAO Nathan - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
32 YI William 3% 17% 38% 31% 10% 1%
33 WU Alber Y. - - - 3% 23% 48% 25%
34 GUTH Joseph - - 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
35 RAJ Jay - - 3% 16% 38% 34% 10%
36 CHUANG Oscar - 2% 22% 42% 26% 7% 1%
37 BIELER Mason 1% 10% 31% 38% 17% 3% -
38 YUE Jackson 2% 15% 37% 33% 11% 1% -
39 DENG David 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
40 SHENG Dalton - 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
41 CHANG Eric Jonathan 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
42 WONG Jacob W. - 6% 24% 40% 26% 4% -
43 ZENG Rick - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
44 LI Richard 2% 17% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
45 ALKADI Zain - 8% 38% 38% 14% 2% -
46 PETROV Mikhail 12% 35% 36% 15% 2% - -
47 LE Jacob 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
48 CHOI Benjamin - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
49 DOELL Ethan - 2% 17% 39% 31% 10% 1%
50 DESERANNO Leander 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
51 CHENG Logan 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% -
52 PARK David 2% 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
53 ZHOU Alex 10% 33% 38% 16% 2% - -
54 TAN Pyron 2% 18% 39% 30% 9% 1% -
55 ZHANG Graham 10% 31% 35% 19% 4% - -
56 ZHOU Ryan 27% 44% 23% 5% - -
57 FUKUDA Brando 21% 43% 28% 8% 1% -
58 LING Carson Jr 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3% -
59 ONG Nicholas 9% 31% 39% 19% 3% - -
60 SHEN Oliver 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2%
61 WANG rainier 31% 45% 20% 3% - - -
62 PARK William 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
63 CHUN Dashel 18% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
64 LIANG Ethan 46% 45% 9% 1% - - -
65 FERNANDEZ Rumi 22% 55% 20% 3% - - -
66 BANUELOS Dario 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -
67 YAN Rian 23% 44% 26% 7% 1% - -
68 QIAN Zekai 25% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
69 TANG Royce 4% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
70 CHEN David 34% 53% 12% 1% - - -
71 HOM Logan 12% 36% 36% 14% 2% - -
72 KIAYIAS Alexander 61% 36% 4% - - - -
73 WU Thomas 9% 40% 37% 13% 2% - -
74 ALKADI Deen 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
74 PARK Roy 50% 37% 11% 2% - - -
76 POPOKH Luca 24% 45% 24% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.