The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, December 19, 2021 at 9:00 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 58%
2 LING Eddie 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
3 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
3 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
5 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
5 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
7 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
8 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
9 MORROW Brenden 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
10 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 35%
11 KIAYIAS Aris 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
12 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 21%
13 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 18%
14 NGUYEN martin 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
15 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
16 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
17 LO Preston 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
18 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 16%
18 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8%
20 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
21 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 13% 1%
22 TANG Terry 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
23 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
24 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 12% 1%
25 RUSSELL Paul 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 39% 7%
26 YANG Charles 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
27 CHOI Ethan 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
28 CHANG Jeremy 100% 100% 93% 59% 20% 3% -
29 PARK Rion 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
30 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
31 ZHAO Nathan 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
32 YI William 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
33 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 25%
34 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
35 RAJ Jay 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 10%
36 CHUANG Oscar 100% 100% 97% 76% 33% 7% 1%
37 BIELER Mason 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3% -
38 YUE Jackson 100% 98% 83% 45% 12% 1% -
39 DENG David 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
40 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
41 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
42 WONG Jacob W. 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5% -
43 ZENG Rick 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
44 LI Richard 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
45 ALKADI Zain 100% 100% 92% 54% 16% 2% -
46 PETROV Mikhail 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% - -
47 LE Jacob 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
48 CHOI Benjamin 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
49 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1%
50 DESERANNO Leander 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
51 CHENG Logan 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
52 PARK David 100% 98% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
53 ZHOU Alex 100% 90% 56% 19% 2% - -
54 TAN Pyron 100% 98% 79% 41% 10% 1% -
55 ZHANG Graham 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% - -
56 ZHOU Ryan 100% 73% 28% 5% - -
57 FUKUDA Brando 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% -
58 LING Carson Jr 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 3% -
59 ONG Nicholas 100% 91% 61% 22% 3% - -
60 SHEN Oliver 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 2%
61 WANG rainier 100% 69% 23% 4% - - -
62 PARK William 100% 90% 55% 20% 4% - -
63 CHUN Dashel 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
64 LIANG Ethan 100% 54% 9% 1% - - -
65 FERNANDEZ Rumi 100% 78% 23% 3% - - -
66 BANUELOS Dario 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
67 YAN Rian 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% - -
68 QIAN Zekai 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
69 TANG Royce 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
70 CHEN David 100% 66% 13% 1% - - -
71 HOM Logan 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% - -
72 KIAYIAS Alexander 100% 39% 4% - - - -
73 WU Thomas 100% 91% 51% 14% 2% - -
74 ALKADI Deen 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% - -
74 PARK Roy 100% 50% 12% 2% - - -
76 POPOKH Luca 100% 76% 30% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.