Arnold Mercado Classic

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, December 4, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Phoenix Fencing Academy - Tempe, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MCMANUS Farran 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
2 FOWLER James A. 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 20%
3 CARTER Austin L. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
3 GROOM Layne 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
5 THORNE Casey B. 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 12%
6 POPPRE Michael N. 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
7 KING Charles M. 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 5%
8 RITCHIE Phillip 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
9 GOING Nicholas (Nick) S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 28%
10 GARDEA Adam 100% 80% 39% 10% 1%
11 THOGERSEN Eric J. 100% 98% 81% 41% 6%
12 FESTIN Michael G. 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% -
13 PARKER Lane S. 100% 93% 63% 22% 3%
14 MUNOZ Humberto 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1%
15 RITCHIE Allison 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
16 GREGER Jack 100% 84% 32% 5% - -
17 MUNOZ Andrea H. 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
18 LAURSEN Logan 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% -
19 ZANETTA Pierre-Marie 100% 89% 49% 13% 1%
20 CUEVAS Tom 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% -
21 CONWAY Collin 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
22 SELDES Mason 100% 91% 52% 15% 2% -
23 WIEGAND-SHAHANI Braden M. 100% 92% 60% 20% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.