May NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Friday, May 7, 2021 at 1:30 PM

Richmond, VA - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOURETTE Geoffrey - - - 6% 34% 59%
2 KUMBLA Sidarth - - - - 4% 28% 68%
3 OLIVARES Marcello G. - - 1% 12% 42% 45%
3 CHEN James P. - - - 2% 12% 41% 45%
5 EMMER Chase T. - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
6 LOUIE Bryce - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
7 XIAO Ethan J. - - 6% 29% 47% 17%
8 LIAO Jun Heng (James) - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
9 LIU Justin - - - 2% 13% 40% 44%
10 DANIEL Ashton - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
11 CHUNG Andrew N. - - - 2% 12% 40% 45%
12 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
13 DESERANNO Jeidus - 4% 18% 38% 33% 6%
14 YU Eric W. - - 3% 15% 37% 37% 8%
15 OURSLER Jack - 1% 6% 20% 36% 30% 7%
16 KIM Nicholas W. 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 1%
17 GASSNER Ethan I. - - - 2% 16% 44% 39%
18 DEBACK Maximus (Max) X. - 1% 8% 31% 46% 14%
19 NDIAYE Edriss G. - - 1% 10% 34% 45% 9%
20 BOURTIS James S. - - 1% 9% 39% 51%
21 KELLY William J. - 6% 29% 43% 19% 3%
22 DICKSON Farr R. - 1% 6% 27% 48% 18%
23 CHEN Earnest P. - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
24 ARCHER Kristjan - - 2% 11% 32% 41% 13%
25 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14% 1%
26 HUTH Mitchell 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% -
27 ZHANG Daniel D. - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
28 IVERSON Shane D. - - 2% 13% 42% 43%
29 SINGH Dayaal 1% 13% 37% 36% 12% 1%
30 XIAO Enoch A. - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 5%
31 PARK Luke J. - - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
32 DORITY Philip S. - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 10%
33 GRIFFIN John O. - - 2% 11% 35% 40% 12%
34 PRILUTSKY David B. - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
35 MATHIEU Adam - - - - 6% 33% 60%
36 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. - 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
37 KAISER Hans Z. - - 3% 16% 41% 33% 8%
38 YEROKHIN Michael N. 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
39 LO Conrad 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
40 REID Clayton J. - 1% 9% 30% 42% 17%
41 YU Vinni - 2% 13% 33% 38% 14%
41 FUKUDA Renzo K. 5% 27% 41% 23% 4% -
43 GRIFFITH JACK 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
44 STANLEY Mason B. - 4% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
45 LEVY Jacob M. - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
46 LIU Niles J. - - 1% 8% 33% 43% 15%
46 JEON Caleb A. 1% 8% 29% 39% 19% 4% -
48 SONG Lawrence (Larry) 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 7%
49 KASI Sanjay 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
50 ZHANG Andy W. 1% 13% 35% 35% 13% 2%
51 BURKE Spencer W. 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
52 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. - 1% 8% 28% 40% 20% 3%
53 LIN Dashiell 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
54 DOBBINS Evan W. 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
55 XIAO EDWARD 18% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
56 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 2% 16% 37% 34% 11% 1%
57 ZHENG Alan H. 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
58 CHEN Andrew 2% 21% 40% 28% 8% 1%
59 ZHANG Henry C. 2% 22% 42% 28% 6% -
60 OH Samuel H. 17% 40% 30% 11% 2% -
61 WU Alexander 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
62 THAYER Jake T. 3% 16% 37% 33% 10% 1% -
63 BING Charles 3% 23% 40% 26% 7% 1% -
64 KAO Castor T. 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
65 HO Ryan J. 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
66 LI Raphael C. 21% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
67 HUTH Jacob 5% 25% 40% 24% 5% -
68 CULLIVAN Justice 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
69 CHEN Allen 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
70 YU Anders 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
71 ZENG Lucas H. - 5% 21% 37% 27% 8% 1%
72 HSIUNG Richie 17% 40% 32% 10% 1% - -
73 REALS Alden D. - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
73 ZHAO Jason L. 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
75 CHIN Julian S. 1% 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
76 PYO Michael M. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
77 RITCHIE Luke W. - 3% 13% 32% 34% 15% 2%
78 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
79 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. - 2% 13% 36% 39% 9%
80 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
80 HOOSHI Dylan M. 8% 29% 38% 20% 4% -
82 KO Brian J. 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
83 BURTE Alexander J. 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
84 GU Jeffrey 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
85 HAN Andersen Y. 13% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
86 RINEHART Conner M. 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
87 LEE Jacob J 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
88 LEWIS Paul D. 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
89 KIM Aaron J. 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
90 SCHENCK Koen M. 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
91 GRANT Lachlan K. 2% 17% 42% 31% 7% 1%
92 THAI William 3% 23% 41% 26% 6% -
93 KIM Isaiah G. 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
94 LEE Chaemin D. 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
95 SUNG Chang-Han S. 34% 47% 17% 2% - -
96 ANDERSON Colton J. 2% 26% 43% 24% 5% -
97 KIM Yonjae 24% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
98 SELENDY Maximilian (Max) A. 29% 48% 20% 3% - -
99 HU Oliver W. - 5% 19% 37% 30% 8% 1%
100 DESHMUKH Ayush 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
101 CHOUN Samuel Minwook 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6% -
102 HONG Daniel 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
103 WANG Gerald Y. 36% 43% 18% 3% - - -
104 BANERJEE ANUP 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 4% -
105 HODESS Ethan 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
106 REZNICK Nicholas J. 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% - -
107 UPTON Craig 57% 35% 7% 1% - - -
108 YU Jonathan J. 60% 33% 7% 1% - - -
109 SICHITIU Alexander 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% -
110 BUERGIN Aidan 16% 39% 33% 11% 1% - -
111 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 76% 22% 2% - - -
112 OH SEAN 44% 41% 14% 2% - -
113 SONG Dylan S. 19% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
114 TAN Christien 64% 30% 5% - - -
115 MCCORD Clark 4% 27% 40% 23% 5% - -
116 NEWELL Ian A. 9% 39% 36% 14% 2% - -
117 DORAN Wesley C. 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.