May NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Friday, May 7, 2021 at 1:30 PM

Richmond, VA - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOURETTE Geoffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
2 KUMBLA Sidarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
3 OLIVARES Marcello G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
3 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
5 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
6 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
7 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 17%
8 LIAO Jun Heng (James) 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
9 LIU Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
10 DANIEL Ashton 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
11 CHUNG Andrew N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
12 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
13 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 6%
14 YU Eric W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 8%
15 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 7%
16 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 98% 84% 51% 15% 1%
17 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
18 DEBACK Maximus (Max) X. 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 14%
19 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 54% 9%
20 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
21 KELLY William J. 100% 100% 93% 65% 22% 3%
22 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 18%
23 CHEN Earnest P. 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
24 ARCHER Kristjan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 13%
25 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15% 1%
26 HUTH Mitchell 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% -
27 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
28 IVERSON Shane D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
29 SINGH Dayaal 100% 99% 86% 49% 13% 1%
30 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 5%
31 PARK Luke J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
32 DORITY Philip S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
33 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 12%
34 PRILUTSKY David B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
35 MATHIEU Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
36 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
37 KAISER Hans Z. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41% 8%
38 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
39 LO Conrad 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
40 REID Clayton J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 17%
41 YU Vinni 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
41 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 95% 68% 27% 4% -
43 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5% -
44 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
45 LEVY Jacob M. 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
46 LIU Niles J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 15%
46 JEON Caleb A. 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 4% -
48 SONG Lawrence (Larry) 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7%
49 KASI Sanjay 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
50 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 99% 86% 51% 15% 2%
51 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
52 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 3%
53 LIN Dashiell 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
54 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
55 XIAO EDWARD 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
56 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
57 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
58 CHEN Andrew 100% 98% 77% 37% 8% 1%
59 ZHANG Henry C. 100% 98% 77% 34% 7% -
60 OH Samuel H. 100% 83% 43% 13% 2% -
61 WU Alexander 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
62 THAYER Jake T. 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1% -
63 BING Charles 100% 97% 74% 34% 8% 1% -
64 KAO Castor T. 100% 91% 59% 23% 4% -
65 HO Ryan J. 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
66 LI Raphael C. 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
67 HUTH Jacob 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
68 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
69 CHEN Allen 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
70 YU Anders 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
71 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
72 HSIUNG Richie 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% - -
73 REALS Alden D. 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
73 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
75 CHIN Julian S. 100% 99% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
76 PYO Michael M. 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
77 RITCHIE Luke W. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
78 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
79 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 9%
80 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
80 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
82 KO Brian J. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
83 BURTE Alexander J. 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% 1%
84 GU Jeffrey 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% - -
85 HAN Andersen Y. 100% 87% 48% 15% 2% - -
86 RINEHART Conner M. 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
87 LEE Jacob J 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
88 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
89 KIM Aaron J. 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
90 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% -
91 GRANT Lachlan K. 100% 98% 81% 39% 8% 1%
92 THAI William 100% 97% 74% 33% 7% -
93 KIM Isaiah G. 100% 90% 58% 20% 3% -
94 LEE Chaemin D. 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
95 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 66% 19% 2% - -
96 ANDERSON Colton J. 100% 98% 72% 29% 5% -
97 KIM Yonjae 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% -
98 SELENDY Maximilian (Max) A. 100% 71% 23% 3% - -
99 HU Oliver W. 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9% 1%
100 DESHMUKH Ayush 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
101 CHOUN Samuel Minwook 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6% -
102 HONG Daniel 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10% 1%
103 WANG Gerald Y. 100% 64% 21% 4% - - -
104 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
105 HODESS Ethan 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
106 REZNICK Nicholas J. 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% - -
107 UPTON Craig 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
108 YU Jonathan J. 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
109 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
110 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% - -
111 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 100% 24% 2% - - -
112 OH SEAN 100% 56% 16% 2% - -
113 SONG Dylan S. 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% - -
114 TAN Christien 100% 36% 6% - - -
115 MCCORD Clark 100% 96% 69% 28% 6% - -
116 NEWELL Ian A. 100% 91% 52% 16% 3% - -
117 DORAN Wesley C. 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.