The 2018 Austin Challenge SYC & RCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, December 22, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Round Rock, TX - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 37%
2 GORBACHEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
3 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
3 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
5 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
6 ZHOU Oscar J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
7 TSAY Jeremy M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40%
8 KEE Andrew L. 100% 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2%
9 REYES Omar 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 38%
10 WEEKS Richard P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
11 AIBEL Hudson J. 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 8% 1%
12 DORAN Wesley C. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
13 LUH Ethan K. 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
14 REEVES Liam 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
15 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
16 MENG Zhaoyi 100% 99% 90% 55% 17% 2%
17 LAKE Wyatt J. 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
18 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 98% 85% 56% 25% 6% 1%
19 LIU Michael H. 100% 100% 99% 84% 43% 9%
20 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
21 STEVENS Paul S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 4%
22 PIERCE Cody 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
23 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 97% 75% 33% 5% -
24 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
25 GODZHIK Zachary 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
26 WONG Garrick G. 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
27 TANG August L. 100% 100% 93% 63% 22% 3% -
28 LI Peihong 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10% -
29 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
30 BAO Aaron 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 13%
31 GAO Ryan 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
32 WYMAN Julian 100% 100% 94% 67% 26% 3% -
33 WU Lucas 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
34 AHMED Yousef 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17% 1%
35 LIU Zixian 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 3%
36 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
37 IVES William R. 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
38 XIANG Derrick 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 3% -
39 JIANG Raymond 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
40 HEARN Christen J. 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
41 CAPRA Ethan 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
42 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 81% 35% 8% 1% - -
43 MCNELIS Andy S. 100% 99% 83% 43% 12% 2% -
44 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
45 ZHOU Joseph H. 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
46 MASCARI DUMONT Louis 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
47 ELKOUSY Laith H. 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
48 MEMON Saqib 100% 52% 9% 1% - -
49 OH Joshua 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
50 CHIN Ryan 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
51 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 97% 73% 31% 6% - -
52 HESSE Hans 100% 97% 75% 31% 6% - -
53 CHENG Marcus 100% 92% 53% 16% 3% - -
54 RANJITH Yash M. 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
55 FUKUDA Diego 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
56 XU Ethan 100% 33% 4% - - - -
57 HEARN Asher L. 100% 70% 15% 1% - -
58 ZHENG zhe 100% 33% 4% - - - -
59 STERNBERG Ira M. 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% - -
60 SHAH Shrey 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
60 STERNBERG Moses A. 100% 80% 22% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.