Fortune Fencing ROC, VET & RJCC Reg Opens 2/1

Cadet Women's Saber

Monday, May 31, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Anaheim, CA - Anaheim, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	ANDRES Katherine A.	-	-	-	2%	15%	43%	40%
2	FEARNS Zara A.	-	-	1%	8%	26%	41%	25%
3	YONG Erika E.	-	-	-	2%	21%	76%
3	XI Shining	-	-	1%	7%	29%	45%	18%
5	TIMOFEYEV Nicole	-	-	-	-	6%	33%	61%
6	VESTEL Mira B.	-	-	1%	7%	26%	42%	24%
7	SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I.	-	-	4%	20%	43%	29%	4%
8	ANDRES Charmaine G.	-	2%	11%	32%	39%	16%
9	JUNG Irene	-	1%	9%	27%	36%	22%	5%
10	BARTON Mele	2%	16%	37%	34%	11%	1%
11	KER Grace	-	1%	5%	20%	37%	30%	8%
12	ENDO Miyuki N.	1%	7%	26%	39%	23%	5%
13	CHANG Audrey	3%	17%	34%	30%	12%	2%	-
14	PI Sophia	18%	44%	28%	8%	1%	-	-
15	GOMES Diana C.	-	4%	20%	39%	29%	8%	1%
16	NOVICK Mia J.	-	2%	13%	35%	36%	13%	1%
17	JEAN Olympe G.	2%	15%	36%	33%	12%	2%
18	CALLAHAN Chase J.	-	-	4%	17%	36%	33%	10%
19	EVANS Madelynn	4%	25%	42%	24%	5%	-	-
20	NGUYEN Siena	1%	6%	24%	36%	24%	8%	1%
21	BARNOVITZ Maya	2%	18%	39%	31%	9%	-
22	YANG Lea	-	5%	25%	42%	22%	4%	-
23	FANG Victoria W.	-	-	2%	15%	41%	35%	6%
24	LIN Lauren	5%	31%	41%	19%	4%	-	-
25	HOLMES Emma	-	6%	25%	41%	25%	3%
25	CHIN Elise	23%	44%	26%	7%	1%	-
27	KRASTEV Minna	-	1%	7%	27%	42%	23%
28	ERIKSON Kira R.	-	1%	9%	27%	36%	22%	5%
29	HU Michelle	26%	44%	24%	6%	1%	-
30	TUNG Renee	20%	39%	29%	10%	2%	-	-
31	KOLL-BRAVMANN Ryder S.	13%	42%	35%	9%	1%	-	-
32	LIN Grace	46%	41%	12%	1%	-	-	-
33	TONG Jessie	4%	25%	41%	24%	6%	1%	-
34	WANG Zidan	6%	24%	36%	25%	8%	1%	-
35	HITOMI Nadya	3%	22%	40%	28%	7%	-
36	BENTOLILA Thalia	-	4%	18%	34%	30%	12%	2%
37	RAMIREZ Mirka A.	7%	26%	37%	23%	7%	1%	-
38	GEYER Victoria M.	58%	34%	7%	1%	-	-
39	NEELEY Leilani	61%	32%	6%	-	-	-	-
40	CHEN Athena	35%	43%	18%	4%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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