USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Vet-60 Men's Épée

Wednesday, July 6, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WATRALL Rick 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
2 RICHARDS Dick 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15%
3 DRAGONETTI Walter E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 33%
3 JENSEN David 100% 100% 100% 92% 65% 28% 5%
5 MARIANI Lou 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
6 RANES Evan 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
7 VARNEY John R. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
8 GLASS Timothy C. 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 11%
9 PERKA Michael 100% 100% 100% 92% 64% 27% 5%
10 HAYENGA Gary M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 19%
11 BAXTER Daniel J. 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5%
12 WHEELER Mark C. 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2%
13 EVANS Allen L. 100% 99% 91% 61% 21% 3% -
14 NIXON Mark 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 10%
15 KAROLAK Dale W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
16 KLEIN Johannes 100% 93% 61% 23% 4% - -
17 FANGMAN Daniel L. 100% 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 1%
18 HAGEN Christopher (Chris) L. 100% 93% 61% 23% 4% -
19 DELGADO Jr. Eli M. 100% 100% 100% 92% 66% 29% 5%
20 HANAHAN Thomas M. 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
21 SCHINDLER Sergey M. 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
22 SCOTT George R. 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
23 MCTIGUE J. Michael 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
24 SWANN William A. 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% -
25 SZOKOLAY Robert E. 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 5%
26 MASE James B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31% 5%
27 SIMMONS Matthew C. 100% 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
28 DOWNEY Gerard C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
29 SWANSON Dave 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5%
30 HENZLER Thomas A. 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5%
31 WAGMAN Robert S. 100% 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 2%
32 ALTMAN Jeff H. 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 6%
33 KRUGER Mark 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% -
34 ALEXANDER Chuck 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
35 VAN DER WEGE Gary M. 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% - -
36 POPOVICI Alexander M. 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% -
37 LANDIS Geoffrey A. 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
38 SIEDOW Jeffrey 100% 75% 21% 3% - - -
39 STONE Ken 100% 44% 4% - - - -
40 TIERNEY Luke 100% 72% 26% 5% - -
40 GROSS Louis A. 100% 53% 13% 2% - -
42 MELCHER Charles 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
43 JORGENSEN Jay 100% 44% 5% - - - -
43 MYERS Brent M. 100% 73% 25% 3% - - -
45 MITCHELL Matthew D. 100% 68% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.