USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div II Women's Foil

Saturday, July 9, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
2 TAKAMIZAWA Yukari 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
3 MI Aileen 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
3 DUAN Konnie 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 34%
5 FUNG Vera 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
6 HAN Crystal 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 19%
7 MICHAELSEN Emily 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
8 CHOW Annabelle 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
9 LUO Sandra J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
10 HOBSON Ava 100% 98% 76% 33% 5%
11 XIANG Emma 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
12 TOLBERT Zoe 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
13 LEE Allison 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3%
14 LIPKOVITZ Rivka 100% 100% 95% 71% 26% 3%
15 SHENG Chuxi 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 8%
16 LEE Ariana 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 3%
17 LIU Siyuan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 18%
18 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 28%
19 RENTON Samantha 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 43%
20 STRUGAR Steliana 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
21 ZHUANG Christina 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 11% 1%
22 LAMBERT Mahala 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 28%
23 DAVIS Bonnie Z. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 26%
24 SHIH Diane 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
25 YIN Helen 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
26 KO Claire 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
27 JIANG Yangying (Amanda) 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
28 ZHOU Catherine 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
29 WU Irene M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
30 ZHENG Julie 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 20%
31 PATTERSON Natalia 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1%
32 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 92% 65% 30% 7% 1%
33 BOLES Amanda X. 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
34 DU Hannah 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
35 DO Leila 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4% -
36 FUNG Emma 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 15%
37 WANG Jasmine 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18% 2%
38 WEBB Ella 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
39 BOLES Sophia 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11%
40 FELLMAN Sara 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
41 WONG Sophia M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 20%
42 YANICELLI Sloane 100% 99% 87% 49% 15% 2% -
43 LI Sophia M. 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 9%
44 LENZ Zoe N. 100% 96% 75% 37% 8% 1%
44 SUN Emily 100% 99% 84% 48% 15% 2%
46 HUANG NATALIE 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
46 ZHANG Eunice 100% 100% 93% 65% 26% 4%
48 KETTELLE Molly 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3%
49 HAN Ashley 100% 99% 82% 45% 13% 2%
50 WILBERT Gwendolyn (Gwen) A. 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 6%
51 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
52 SHA Yi Ling 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
53 HSIEH Rebecca 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 23% 3%
54 RAO Sonia D. 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1%
55 LIU Sophia 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42% 9%
56 WEI Angela 100% 100% 96% 71% 29% 5% -
57 PAULUS Isabella 100% 100% 91% 55% 17% 2% -
58 POWERS Meredith R. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
59 BEAVER Hannah 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
60 BHAN Zala 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6%
61 HAN Katherine 100% 100% 90% 54% 16% 2% -
62 YE Eileen 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
63 LIN Ju-An Adrianne 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1%
64 CABALU Alaina 100% 95% 64% 20% 3% - -
65 GANDLURI Sreehitha (Sarah) 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
66 UNGERER Frieda 100% 100% 97% 77% 36% 7% -
67 COKER Bettina M. 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 4%
68 SUH Kailey E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
69 LI Eleanor 100% 89% 47% 11% 1% - -
70 VOHRA Anusha 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
71 MI Anning 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
72 CANNON Lira J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 27%
73 SIMONOV Dasha 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
74 CHEN Jasmine 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
75 HSIEH Sabrina 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1% -
76 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 13% 2%
77 ASCHETTINO Aurora 100% 99% 88% 53% 13%
78 MEYER Claudia 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
79 SCHMIDT Victoria 100% 100% 98% 80% 40% 8% -
79 ZHANG Selena 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 6% -
81 LEVY Avery 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2%
82 PARK Leah 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
83 LONG Madeline M. 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
84 QUINN Anna 100% 71% 23% 4% - -
85 DEMOSS Mercedes 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
86 NUNLEY Victoria 100% 93% 63% 21% 3% -
87 BAWA Sahana 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 7% 1%
88 BASSIK Eva 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
89 NIKOLIC Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
90 KUNDU TRISHA 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% - -
91 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Marisol 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
92 MCLAURIN Semini 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
93 ZHAO Aimee 100% 64% 16% 2% - - -
94 NEWMAN Ariel 100% 99% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
95 TOBIN Brean 100% 95% 64% 22% 3%
96 HERNANDEZ Melany 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
97 ROLOFF Katarina M. 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
98 HUNT Abigail S. 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% -
99 FULIGNI Isabella 100% 72% 26% 4% - -
100 SETHRE Traci 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 2% -
101 ROHRING Anna 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
102 NIRGUDE Siddhi 100% 86% 38% 8% 1% - -
102 CHENG Isa 100% 31% 3% - - - -
104 STONE Colleen R. 100% 84% 30% 5% - - -
105 SCARLETT Skye 100% 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
105 TOMASI Samantha 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
107 BRUSH Sydney 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
108 SULTER Aurelie 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
109 KAPOOR Saanvi 100% 35% 5% - -
110 ZAMELIS Madelyn 100% 76% 30% 5% - -
111 ZHENG Zoe 100% 90% 54% 19% 3% - -
112 SHELARE Mehal 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
113 MADSEN Lindsey 100% 44% 7% - - - -
114 GREENLEAF Ella 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
115 MURDOCH ROY Grace 100% 69% 22% 3% - - -
115 DONDERIS Katherine 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 2% -
117 BURTON Sequoia 100% 89% 37% 7% 1% - -
118 NORTH Zoe M. 100% 65% 19% 3% - -
118 CRANFILL Madison 100% 12% 1% - - -
120 OWINGS Anna 100% 42% 7% - - - -
120 BROCE Lilianna 100% 37% 4% - - - -
120 HOLCOMB Emily 100% 3% - - - - -
123 KLINE Rachel 100% 61% 18% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.