USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-10 Men's Épée

Monday, July 11, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARK Sangwook - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
2 HUANG Kenneth - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
3 MEHROTRA Neel - - - 4% 21% 46% 29%
3 ZHOU Shawn - - 4% 23% 40% 27% 6%
5 DAI Chengwen - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
6 MIDYANY Ryan - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
7 MOORE Alexander - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
8 BOUDREAUX James - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
9 WANG Joey - - - 2% 16% 53% 29%
10 YILMAZ Tarik - - 1% 8% 29% 42% 19%
11 DODIN Daniel M. - - 2% 12% 37% 45% 5%
12 MULCAHY Sebastian - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
13 ZHAI Junqi - - - 1% 11% 44% 44%
14 MAZAHERI Fletcher 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% -
15 KIM Julian 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 9%
16 KROPP Wesley - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
17 SHCHUR Grayson - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
18 DOAN Christopher - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11%
19 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 1% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2%
20 ENG Kyler - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
20 MOSTOVOY philip - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
22 RAHMAN Ali - - 2% 13% 33% 39% 13%
23 YANG Gary - - 1% 6% 21% 41% 31%
24 SINGLETON Aman - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
25 KHERSONSKY Robert 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
26 RONG Gordon - 2% 12% 30% 37% 19%
27 MANA Sameer 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
28 RONG Marcus 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
29 NOOL Alexander 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
30 MA Houhin - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 29%
31 LEWIS Michael - 8% 34% 40% 16% 2% -
32 CAFASSO Alexander - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
33 WANG Marcus - 4% 18% 35% 31% 12% 1%
34 LEE Harrison - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 8%
35 KIM Henry 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5%
36 CHIEN Ian - 4% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2%
37 YAO Tristan - - 3% 14% 33% 37% 13%
38 WATTANAKIT Tawin 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
39 PURUSHOTHAM Neil 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
40 NAIR Sujit - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
41 SHOURIE Neel - 7% 28% 40% 21% 3% -
42 SOLOMON Aryeh 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
43 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 1% 7% 26% 38% 24% 5%
44 KIM Evan 35% 41% 19% 4% - - -
45 LEUNG Dylan - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
46 WONG Alexander - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
47 WU Nathan - 6% 24% 39% 26% 5% -
48 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 16% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
49 TUMULA Arihaan 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
50 YU Andrew 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
51 HEADRICK Liam 21% 44% 27% 7% 1% - -
52 WANG lucas 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
53 ROBERTS Arthur 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
54 PLUMMER Kellan - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
55 PERRY Noah 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
56 DU Evan 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
57 NGUYEN Ethan 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
58 CHEN Daniel 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
59 TUBALTSEV Evan - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
60 SHOURIE Seth 13% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
61 FERNANDEZ William - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
62 KONG Ethan 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
63 BHANDARE Veer 31% 43% 20% 5% 1% - -
64 LIU Austin 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
65 ELMARSAFI Nurideen 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
66 LAM Jayden 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
67 SU Samuel 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
67 SHEYDIN Barry - 2% 16% 40% 33% 9% -
69 DANILOV Artur 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
70 MASKIN Mikhail 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
71 INGHILTERRA Luca - - 1% 10% 33% 40% 14%
72 GIORDANO Zach 1% 8% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
73 SONG Aidan - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
74 FRENCH Drake 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
75 NOOL Aaron 9% 33% 37% 18% 4% -
76 XUE Michael 19% 41% 30% 10% 1% -
77 JONES Blaise P. 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
78 GACIOCH Noah - - 1% 6% 26% 44% 23%
79 SRIKANTH Hariharan - 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2%
80 DANILENKO Daniel 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
81 LI Ryan - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3%
82 CHEN Tianjun 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
83 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
84 D'SA Thomas 2% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
85 MATUSOW Brandon - 5% 23% 41% 27% 4% -
86 BOBORIS Dimitrios 14% 35% 33% 15% 4% - -
87 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 21% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
88 WU Matthew 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
89 ROMAN Anton 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
90 VEERAVALLI Pranav 14% 40% 33% 11% 2% - -
91 ELMARSAFI Wissam 37% 48% 13% 1% - - -
92 MILLER Xavier 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
93 KLINKNER Charlie 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
94 SHIH Derek 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 6%
95 ZHU Owen 3% 15% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
96 FERRIERE Theo 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
97 TANG Maximus 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
98 DING Max 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
99 HUA Nolan 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
100 ARMSTRONG Hendry 1% 12% 39% 34% 12% 2% -
101 ROFINO Samuel 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
102 MA kevin - 2% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
103 JAMES Kaden - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
104 QUAN Leo - 3% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
105 MAZAHERI Theodore 59% 35% 6% - - - -
106 CHO Joshua 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
107 LU Ian 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% -
108 CHEN Aiden 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
109 GEVA Reuben < 1% 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
110 CARCELLER Jeremias 3% 15% 32% 31% 16% 4% -
110 YOON Jonathan 31% 47% 19% 3% - - -
112 NARAYANUN Advay 11% 41% 35% 12% 2% - -
112 ZENG Albert 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
114 HONG Austin 43% 41% 14% 2% - -
115 SHAO Mason 30% 44% 21% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.