USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-10 Men's Épée

Monday, July 11, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARK Sangwook 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
2 HUANG Kenneth 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
3 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 29%
3 ZHOU Shawn 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 33% 6%
5 DAI Chengwen 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
6 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
7 MOORE Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
8 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
9 WANG Joey 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 29%
10 YILMAZ Tarik 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
11 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50% 5%
12 MULCAHY Sebastian 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
13 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 44%
14 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
15 KIM Julian 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
16 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
17 SHCHUR Grayson 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
18 DOAN Christopher 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
19 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
20 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
20 MOSTOVOY philip 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
22 RAHMAN Ali 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 13%
23 YANG Gary 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 31%
24 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 5%
25 KHERSONSKY Robert 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
26 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 19%
27 MANA Sameer 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
28 RONG Marcus 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
29 NOOL Alexander 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
30 MA Houhin 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
31 LEWIS Michael 100% 100% 92% 58% 18% 2% -
32 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 1%
33 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
34 LEE Harrison 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
35 KIM Henry 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
36 CHIEN Ian 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
37 YAO Tristan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
38 WATTANAKIT Tawin 100% 94% 69% 33% 10% 1% -
39 PURUSHOTHAM Neil 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
40 NAIR Sujit 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
41 SHOURIE Neel 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 3% -
42 SOLOMON Aryeh 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
43 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 5%
44 KIM Evan 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
45 LEUNG Dylan 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
46 WONG Alexander 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
47 WU Nathan 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6% -
48 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% - -
49 TUMULA Arihaan 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
50 YU Andrew 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
51 HEADRICK Liam 100% 79% 35% 8% 1% - -
52 WANG lucas 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
53 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% -
54 PLUMMER Kellan 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
55 PERRY Noah 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
56 DU Evan 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 6%
57 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
58 CHEN Daniel 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3% -
59 TUBALTSEV Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
60 SHOURIE Seth 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
61 FERNANDEZ William 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
62 KONG Ethan 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 1%
63 BHANDARE Veer 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
64 LIU Austin 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
65 ELMARSAFI Nurideen 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
66 LAM Jayden 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
67 SU Samuel 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
67 SHEYDIN Barry 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 9% -
69 DANILOV Artur 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
70 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
71 INGHILTERRA Luca 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 14%
72 GIORDANO Zach 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% -
73 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
74 FRENCH Drake 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3%
75 NOOL Aaron 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
76 XUE Michael 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% -
77 JONES Blaise P. 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
78 GACIOCH Noah 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
79 SRIKANTH Hariharan 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 2%
80 DANILENKO Daniel 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
81 LI Ryan 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
82 CHEN Tianjun 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% - -
83 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
84 D'SA Thomas 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
85 MATUSOW Brandon 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 4% -
86 BOBORIS Dimitrios 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
87 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
88 WU Matthew 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
89 ROMAN Anton 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
90 VEERAVALLI Pranav 100% 86% 46% 13% 2% - -
91 ELMARSAFI Wissam 100% 63% 15% 1% - - -
92 MILLER Xavier 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3%
93 KLINKNER Charlie 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
94 SHIH Derek 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
95 ZHU Owen 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
96 FERRIERE Theo 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
97 TANG Maximus 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
98 DING Max 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
99 HUA Nolan 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
100 ARMSTRONG Hendry 100% 99% 87% 48% 14% 2% -
101 ROFINO Samuel 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
102 MA kevin 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
103 JAMES Kaden 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 2%
104 QUAN Leo 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
105 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 41% 6% - - - -
106 CHO Joshua 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
107 LU Ian 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% -
108 CHEN Aiden 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
109 GEVA Reuben 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
110 CARCELLER Jeremias 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
110 YOON Jonathan 100% 69% 22% 3% - - -
112 NARAYANUN Advay 100% 89% 48% 13% 2% - -
112 ZENG Albert 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
114 HONG Austin 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
115 SHAO Mason 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.