USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div III Women's Épée

Monday, July 11, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HICKS Grace - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
2 LEE Olivia - 1% 10% 30% 40% 18%
3 LEE Kaitlyn M. - - 1% 8% 29% 43% 20%
3 SPURLIN Alicen - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
5 KUMAR Anusha 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
6 BYBEE Lucy J. - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
7 CHIRASHNYA Noya - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
8 CHIEM Karen - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
9 PATIL Amulya 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 9%
10 LI Fei - 3% 15% 35% 36% 12%
11 FLANIGAN KENDRA 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
12 POON Desiree 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1%
13 SINHA Zara 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
14 BREKSA Lydia - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 3%
15 LEE Samantha X. 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
16 GROSSL Karina 1% 7% 23% 35% 27% 8%
17 KANEVSKY Samantha 3% 17% 36% 32% 12% 2%
18 ENGLISH Marli - 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 5%
19 BHATT Anisha 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
20 LENDIS Gabrielle 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
21 KRUMHOLZ Nicole - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 12%
22 PECK Maia A. - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 13%
23 FREEMAN Kate 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
24 JACKSON Viktoria 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
25 HALM Alexandra F. 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
26 YOU Joyce 15% 50% 28% 6% 1% - -
27 HASIM Eurietta 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
28 TONG Lauren 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
29 MURDOCH ROY Grace 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
30 HAYDEN Molly 2% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2%
31 ANDERSON Claire - 1% 5% 22% 42% 29%
32 SEUK Irene 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
33 NEELAM Neha - 5% 18% 33% 31% 12% 1%
34 DOERR Zoe - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
35 NIEMAN Aubrey 2% 13% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
36 MA Katelyn 1% 9% 25% 34% 24% 7% -
37 PEARSON Heila - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
38 LAI Amanda 17% 36% 30% 13% 3% < 1% -
39 BOLES Sophia - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
40 VICKERMAN Lilly 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
41 WIDMANN Ceili 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 4%
42 PARKS Eliana - 3% 13% 27% 32% 20% 5%
43 CHIRASHNYA Mika 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% - -
44 GULLY Wren - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15% 2%
45 BURN Lauren M. - - - 1% 7% 32% 61%
46 NGUYEN Jolie T. 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
47 MEWES Katie M. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
48 DRYSDALE Lita - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
49 DONGES Anna 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 4%
50 SOTELO Michelle - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 1%
51 COURTNEY Elya Rebekah - 3% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1%
52 OLORVIDA Isabella 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
53 MOHAMED Faisa - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
54 FORDER Isabel 36% 41% 19% 4% - - -
55 SRIVASTAVA Arya 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 2% -
56 MACEDON Gianna - 6% 29% 39% 21% 4% -
57 ARAYE Nasro 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
58 ALDORT Isabel 4% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
59 VICKERMAN Sofia 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
60 SAUCEDO Grecia 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
61 MORIN Jenna - 4% 21% 39% 28% 7%
62 ZOU Jiayi-Hannah 40% 41% 16% 3% - -
63 FRAGER Soleil 17% 43% 30% 9% 1% -
64 MANAUGH Calliope 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
65 LIU Lucy 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1%
66 SHERTZ Kira E. 3% 14% 31% 32% 17% 3%
67 NELSON Gwendolyn H. 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
68 JARUSHI Amnee 33% 43% 20% 4% - -
69 NAIR Supriya - 2% 12% 27% 34% 20% 5%
70 MADRID Maureen - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
71 HOSANAGAR Inchara - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
72 XU Priscilla 13% 37% 34% 14% 3% - -
73 DONDISCH Andrea 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
74 NWOKOCHA Chizoro 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
75 PYE Emily 2% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% -
76 SCHLIEP Anna J. - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
77 HAWKINS Katie - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
78 LOFTIS Hunter 19% 37% 29% 12% 3% - -
79 GUSKA Jenn 21% 40% 29% 10% 1% - -
80 STOMMEL-DIAZ Charly 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
81 KIM Emily 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
82 CARLSON Ava 14% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
83 JHANGIANI KAVYA 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
84 MAY Courtney 62% 34% 4% - - - -
85 CHANG Abigail 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.