USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div III Women's Épée

Monday, July 11, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HICKS Grace 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
2 LEE Olivia 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
3 LEE Kaitlyn M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
3 SPURLIN Alicen 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
5 KUMAR Anusha 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 2%
6 BYBEE Lucy J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
7 CHIRASHNYA Noya 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
8 CHIEM Karen 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
9 PATIL Amulya 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
10 LI Fei 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
11 FLANIGAN KENDRA 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
12 POON Desiree 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1%
13 SINHA Zara 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
14 BREKSA Lydia 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
15 LEE Samantha X. 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
16 GROSSL Karina 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 8%
17 KANEVSKY Samantha 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 2%
18 ENGLISH Marli 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
19 BHATT Anisha 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
20 LENDIS Gabrielle 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 8% 1%
21 KRUMHOLZ Nicole 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 12%
22 PECK Maia A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
23 FREEMAN Kate 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
24 JACKSON Viktoria 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
25 HALM Alexandra F. 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
26 YOU Joyce 100% 85% 35% 7% 1% - -
27 HASIM Eurietta 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
28 TONG Lauren 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 5%
29 MURDOCH ROY Grace 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
30 HAYDEN Molly 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
31 ANDERSON Claire 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
32 SEUK Irene 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
33 NEELAM Neha 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 13% 1%
34 DOERR Zoe 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 9%
35 NIEMAN Aubrey 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
36 MA Katelyn 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 8% -
37 PEARSON Heila 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
38 LAI Amanda 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% < 1% -
39 BOLES Sophia 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
40 VICKERMAN Lilly 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 5%
41 WIDMANN Ceili 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
42 PARKS Eliana 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 24% 5%
43 CHIRASHNYA Mika 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
44 GULLY Wren 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
45 BURN Lauren M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
46 NGUYEN Jolie T. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
47 MEWES Katie M. 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
48 DRYSDALE Lita 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
49 DONGES Anna 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
50 SOTELO Michelle 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 14% 1%
51 COURTNEY Elya Rebekah 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 10% 1%
52 OLORVIDA Isabella 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
53 MOHAMED Faisa 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
54 FORDER Isabel 100% 64% 23% 5% 1% - -
55 SRIVASTAVA Arya 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
56 MACEDON Gianna 100% 100% 94% 65% 25% 5% -
57 ARAYE Nasro 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
58 ALDORT Isabel 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1%
59 VICKERMAN Sofia 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
60 SAUCEDO Grecia 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
61 MORIN Jenna 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
62 ZOU Jiayi-Hannah 100% 60% 18% 3% - -
63 FRAGER Soleil 100% 83% 40% 10% 1% -
64 MANAUGH Calliope 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1%
65 LIU Lucy 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1%
66 SHERTZ Kira E. 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
67 NELSON Gwendolyn H. 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
68 JARUSHI Amnee 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
69 NAIR Supriya 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
70 MADRID Maureen 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
71 HOSANAGAR Inchara 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
72 XU Priscilla 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
73 DONDISCH Andrea 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
74 NWOKOCHA Chizoro 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
75 PYE Emily 100% 98% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
76 SCHLIEP Anna J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10%
77 HAWKINS Katie 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
78 LOFTIS Hunter 100% 81% 44% 15% 3% - -
79 GUSKA Jenn 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -
80 STOMMEL-DIAZ Charly 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1%
81 KIM Emily 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% -
82 CARLSON Ava 100% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
83 JHANGIANI KAVYA 100% 95% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
84 MAY Courtney 100% 38% 5% - - - -
85 CHANG Abigail 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.