Cherry Blossom ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, April 2, 2022 at 9:00 AM

University of Maryland, College Park Campus - Reckord Armory - College Park, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
2 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
3 LIN Michael 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
3 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
5 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
6 LE Vyn A. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
7 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 18%
8 SHI Shenzhi 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
9 MOHAMED Murad 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 7%
10 TIAN Aaron C. 100% 100% 88% 55% 19% 3%
11 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
12 GAO William 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8%
13 MOHAMED Amir 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
14 GATZA Logan 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
15 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
16 WANG Michael 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
17 SONG Austin 100% 96% 68% 28% 6% 1%
18 LIU Eric Y. 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
19 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 16% 1%
20 HUANG Eythan 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
21 LI Matthew 100% 100% 90% 57% 20% 3%
22 YAP Nathan 100% 82% 43% 12% 1% -
23 DRESSEL Jet 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% -
23 PAN Henry 100% 97% 78% 38% 8% 1%
25 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 100% 97% 75% 33% 6% -
26 LAUSI Patrick M. 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
27 MATSAKH Philip 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% -
28 EVANS Aidan 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
29 WANG Brayden 100% 99% 90% 53% 16% 2% -
30 KLYCZEK Andrew 100% 98% 83% 47% 15% 2%
31 DUSZA Zachery 100% 42% 8% 1% - -
32 GISLER Benjamin B. 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
33 WANG Winston 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
34 ALLAMPALLAM Maanav V. 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7%
35 MOREY Zachary D. 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
36 ALONSOZANA Luke 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% -
37 MULLIGAN Timothy (Tim) D. 100% 99% 82% 43% 12% 1%
38 SHEARMAN Mathew 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
39 ROGERS Windell 100% 55% 8% - - - -
40 TOMASI John 100% 60% 18% 3% - -
41 ALAMI Faisal 100% 87% 41% 9% 1% -
42 HEETER Alex 100% 9% - - - -
43 NSUBUGA Jeffrey 100% 71% 23% 3% - - -
44 ANDERSON Donald 100% 87% 54% 19% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.