Nutmeg State Games Open

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, July 31, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Middletown High School - Middletown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
2 LANGTON Sawyer 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 10%
3 MARICI Ryan 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
3 ROLLO Emmet 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 12%
5 RICHARDS Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
6 ROUSE Brian 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
7 LUKANYUK Lorence 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
8 STEVENS James 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 24%
9 ALFAIATE Lucas 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 21%
10 BELLIVEAU Raven 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
11 FRY Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 21%
12 VALAYANNOPOULOS Nicolas 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1% -
13 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
14 BUSH Thomas 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 7%
15 ZOU Xianyang 100% 92% 57% 12% 1% -
16 RUSSELL Edward 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 8%
17 LINSCOTT John 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
18 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11% 1%
19 SACCOMANNO Shelby 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
20 TORRES Gianni 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
21 BELLIVEAU Shane 100% 98% 74% 32% 7% 1%
22 COSTA Joao 100% 87% 41% 10% 1% - -
24 HOWARD Jackson 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
25 WYATT Seth 100% 100% 100% 95% 61% 16%
26 PAPSUN Ben 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% -
27 PETROV Niki 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% - -
28 MCCALL Aidan 100% 99% 89% 53% 16% 2% -
29 SENERTH Ian 100% 99% 92% 63% 23% 4% -
30 EANG Brynner 100% 95% 64% 23% 4% -
31 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
32 SOSNICK Samuel 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
33 RUGGLES Bill 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% -
34 CHAPMAN Brynmor 100% 74% 26% 3% - -
35 HANSEL Roy 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5%
36 ZELIN Sam 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
37 FEAGIN Patrick 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
38 SPRINGER Elijah 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
39 WALTING Paul 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
40 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
41 MILGRAM Aaron 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
42 STELTENKAMP Neal 100% 33% 4% - - -
43 PEZZINO Matt 100% 68% 23% 3% - -
44 BELLIVEAU Emmett Sparrow 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -
45 HERNANDEZ Diana 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.