Statistics Profile

Jeffrey Siedow

1960

Twin Cities Fencing Club DC Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1781	1558 - 2003	1529	1831
Épée	Direct elimination	1665	1186 - 2143	1591	2652

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.