5th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC and RJCC

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, January 22, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Jump Beyond Sports - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DIVITO Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
2 OTAKE Jared K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
3 VAZQUEZ Zander 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 32%
3 WOO Christian 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 36% 5%
5 GODZHIK Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
6 CHENG Nathan 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 11%
7 MURUHIN Yaroslav 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
8 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
9 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24%
10 COELHO Cristiano P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
11 CHENG Matthew S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
12 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 24%
13 WYMAN Julian 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
14 VARGAS Bryan 100% 100% 97% 76% 35% 6%
15 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 22%
16 GIRALDO Pablo E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
17 LI Avery Peihong 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 21% 3%
18 CHIN Jason Y. 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
19 MUSHER Benjamin J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 9%
20 DETERING Julian 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 7%
21 MORALES Ian N. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
22 TSAY Jeremy M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56% 12%
23 LE Jacob W. 100% 99% 91% 60% 20% 2%
24 GOLDADE Luke A. 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 6%
25 HOSKERI Anik S. 100% 100% 96% 73% 29% 4%
26 MCCOSH Evin M. 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 2%
27 LLIDO Soren 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 6% -
28 ZHOU Hao Kai (Kevin) 100% 100% 91% 54% 14% 1% -
29 NGUYEN Liam 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% -
30 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
31 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 99% 86% 49% 7%
32 PIESNER Zachary C. 100% 98% 80% 37% 8% 1%
33 LI Ryan Z. 100% 78% 34% 6% -
34 KIM Derek A. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 3%
35 ZHENG zhe 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
36 ANDERSON Jacob 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1%
37 ELVANDER Ethan 100% 93% 61% 21% 4% - -
38 AIKEN Nicholas A. 100% 76% 31% 5% -
39 FANG Jaden 100% 89% 50% 16% 3% - -
40 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% -
41 MYERS Dean 100% 89% 44% 10% 1% -
42 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden 100% 99% 89% 55% 17% 2%
42 YU Leo 100% 95% 61% 19% 2% -
44 KIM Aaron J. 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 7%
45 OH Jaden 100% 100% 91% 54% 14% 1% -
46 YEE Johnathan 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 2%
47 WANG Ethan 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
48 TAN Peter 100% 96% 64% 21% 3% -
49 SMITH Grant D. 100% 84% 38% 8% 1% -
50 WU Lucas 100% 96% 68% 28% 5% -
51 CHEN Brian 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
52 GREENEBAUM Oliver 100% 63% 18% 2% - - -
53 ALFARO Sergio Raul O. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
54 LI Jett 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
55 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 87% 32% 5% - - -
56 BOUCHARD Kai 100% 40% 6% - - -
57 MO Jason 100% 91% 57% 16% 1%
58 LU Ruofei 100% 35% 5% - - -
58 HUANG Alston 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
60 LIU William 100% 50% 10% 1% - -
61 PORTER Rory 100% 30% 3% - - - -
61 LIN Po-Chen (Ryan) 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% - -
63 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.