TFC's March 2022 Fence-a-thon and Observational

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, March 20, 2022 at 2:00 PM

The Fencing Center of San Jose - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ALVAREZ Ian T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 33%
2 LOGUE Ethan D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
3 SARKAR Agniv 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
3 MING Nathan 100% 99% 89% 54% 14%
5 WELDON Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
6 SARKAR Anish 100% 100% 100% 98% 73% 25%
7 KUO Elvin 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
8 OLANDER Gabriel 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
9 WATT Darren 100% 100% 93% 66% 22%
10 RAJ Shrey 100% 87% 45% 12% 1%
11 KELLEY Thomas (TJ) J. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11%
12 YEE Johnathan 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
13 ULINICH Alexander 100% 99% 88% 53% 14%
14 GOLDBERG Artie M. 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
15 TONG Samuel 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
16 GU Aidan 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
17 SIRBU Dan 100% 95% 71% 30% 5% < 1%
18 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
19 HOFMAN Haejung 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
20 LUONG Allen 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 23%
21 KUO Rylan 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
22 LIPKOVITZ Rivka 100% 81% 38% 7% 1% -
23 ZHANG Nathan 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
24 MA Katelyn 100% 75% 32% 6% 1% -
25 DUONG Zoey 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% -
26 HAWKINS Laura A. 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
27 BECK Brian C. 100% 100% 98% 81% 43% 9%
27 BARNETT Devin 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
29 ANGADALA Leela Krishna 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% -
29 KUO Michael 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
31 AHMED Saheer 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
32 MADRID Maureen 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% -
33 CHA Eugenie 100% 93% 64% 24% 3% -
34 SIMONI James 100% 65% 23% 4% - -
35 MEWES Katie M. 100% 51% 11% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.