Division I and Parafencing Nat'l Championships & April NAC

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, April 24, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HO Jia Le Sean 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
2 LI Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
3 MIN Eric 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
3 LIN James G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
5 HOWARD Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35%
6 ORVANANOS Jorge 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 12%
7 PORRAS Cristian 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
8 GUO Justin 100% 100% 93% 72% 38% 12% 2%
9 LYU Victor 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
10 MIALL Steven A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
11 STRAYER Andrew 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
12 SONG Bryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12%
13 BERK Theodore 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
14 ZHOU Hao Kai (Kevin) 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
15 KIM Jackson 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 5%
16 CO Dylan 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
17 DAVIS Christopher M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
18 KLOSTERMANN Max 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
19 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 6%
20 LANG Dong Lin 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 4%
21 DETERING Julian 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
22 KIM Minhyeok 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
23 LEE Lukas 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
24 GUO Sean 100% 100% 98% 88% 65% 31% 7%
24 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
26 LEE Jonah 100% 99% 93% 65% 24% 3%
27 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
28 ZHENG zhe 100% 100% 94% 73% 40% 13% 2%
29 WANG mason 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 5%
30 JIMENEZ Lukas 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
31 WANG Michael 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
32 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
33 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
34 KIM Derek A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
35 FERNANDEZ Lucas 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 35%
36 JAUME Andrei 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6%
37 KLYCZEK Andrew 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
38 CANO Diego A. 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 16% 3%
39 MCCOSH Evin M. 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
40 WANG Gerald Y. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
41 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 9%
41 LE Vyn A. 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 48% 14%
43 LI Matthew 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
44 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 9%
45 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
46 TSAO Lukas 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
47 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
48 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 4%
49 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
50 CAPRA Ethan 100% 84% 48% 17% 4% - -
51 SONG Austin 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
52 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
53 LI Arvin 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 13% 2%
54 SHAO Eric 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 6% 1%
55 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
56 LISONDRA Niko 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 2%
57 WOODTHORPE Michael G. 100% 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
58 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 9%
59 CHUNG Yeongbin 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
60 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 7% 1%
61 MASON Zachary 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
62 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
63 SZEGO Bence P. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
64 MAHRAN-GALINDO Alex 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
65 DRESSEL Jet 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
66 LEE Eugene 100% 79% 35% 8% 1% -
67 RUFFNER Blake W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
68 DORE Davis 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
69 EVGENEV Mark 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 22%
70 MENG Zhaoyi 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
71 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
72 PITERBARG Maxim 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
73 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
74 LEE Jacob 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
75 LOVE Aaron 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 3%
76 FINLEY Dylan 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 1%
77 PETERSON Dale 100% 99% 90% 63% 30% 8% 1%
78 LAUSI Patrick M. 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
79 VIVEROS Evan 100% 99% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
80 TJON Calum 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
81 ZHEN Ethan 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
82 ANDERSON Jacob 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
83 LI Samuel 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 14% 2%
83 KIM Aiden 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
85 BISHOP Henry 100% 49% 12% 1% - - -
85 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
87 TANG August L. 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
88 BERNABE Rafael 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
89 KHER Roan 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
90 WU Lucas 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
91 ZOU Yuming 100% 93% 49% 13% 2% -
92 EDISON Ansel 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
93 KIM Harrison 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
94 XU Ethan 100% 85% 48% 15% 3% -
95 WANG Brayden 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% -
96 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 56% 16% 2% - -
97 MATSAKH Philip 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
98 SAGE Michael P. 100% 100% 97% 87% 61% 28% 6%
99 TANG Albert 100% 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% -
100 PARK Sky 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
101 BROWN Jacob (Jake) G. 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
102 ALIMI Yacine A. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
103 SMITH Grant D. 100% 91% 63% 30% 9% 1% -
104 TANG xianchi 100% 74% 29% 5% - - -
105 LIM Lance Jeremiah 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
106 HUANG Eythan 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
107 HU Robin 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
108 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 90% 55% 18% 2%
109 GUEVARRA Gerhard V. 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
110 STORER Alex 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2%
111 DAVIS Mitchell 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
112 ROSS III Paul D. 100% 98% 82% 42% 10% 1%
113 KIM Adrian 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% 1% -
113 LI Avery Peihong 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
115 BENTLEY Nick 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
116 LUAN Tian 100% 96% 71% 33% 9% 1% -
117 LEWIS Jared 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
118 RNO Kyler 100% 98% 62% 22% 4% - -
119 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
120 LEVY Jacob 100% 97% 80% 50% 20% 5% -
121 RABINOWITZ Benjamin 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
121 JIA Gabriel 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
123 MONES jesse 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
124 VIVEROS Antonio 100% 72% 28% 6% 1% -
125 MILLER Jonathan 100% 56% 6% - - - -
125 GOKCE Ellis 100% 34% 5% - - - -
127 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 26% 2% - - -
128 VIVEROS Oscar A. 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
129 ROSS Jacob 100% 11% - - - - -
129 FROST Talon 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
131 MONES Robert (Bob) J. 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
132 NA Larry 100% 71% 25% 5% - - -
133 TSAI Caleb 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.