Fortune Fencing SYC/RCC

Cadet Men's Foil

Friday, March 18, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GODZHIK Zachary 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
2 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
3 WYMAN Julian 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
3 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
5 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
6 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35%
7 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
8 RENTERIA Emiliano 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
9 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
10 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
11 DETERING Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
12 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 48% 9%
13 GOBBO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
14 COELHO Cristiano P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
15 EDISON Ansel 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% - -
16 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 2%
17 TEH Ryan 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
18 LE Jacob W. 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 10%
19 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 4%
20 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47%
21 LING Eddie 100% 100% 94% 66% 25% 3%
22 YU Jason 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
23 MUSHER Benjamin J. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
24 NGUYEN Liam 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% -
25 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
26 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
27 LI Samuel 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
28 MORROW Brenden 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 26% 4%
29 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 93% 64% 25% 3%
30 TSAO Lukas 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
31 ZHOU Oscar J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 14%
32 LYNCH Owen C. 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
33 ZHOU Hao Kai (Kevin) 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
34 LI Jett 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
35 PARK Ryan 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
36 KIAYIAS Aris 100% 99% 80% 41% 10% 1%
37 TAN Peter 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6% -
38 LO Preston 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
39 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 23% 3%
40 SMITH Grant D. 100% 97% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
40 LI Matthew 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
42 PARK Gabriel 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
43 PONS Diego 100% 93% 57% 21% 4% - -
44 DERRICK Blake 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
45 OROPEZA David 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 7% 1%
46 SAH Steven 100% 95% 67% 22% 4% - -
47 NGUYEN Martin 100% 100% 92% 62% 22% 3%
48 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 98% 76% 35% 8% 1%
49 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
50 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
51 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
52 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
53 TUAN Evan 100% 99% 70% 28% 5% -
53 WU Alber Y. 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2%
55 PARK Rion 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
56 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
57 PIESNER Zachary C. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
58 NAVARRO Kato 100% 84% 48% 17% 4% - -
59 LE Jacob H. 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% - -
60 LIU William 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% - -
61 KIM Aiden 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
62 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% - -
63 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
64 KALAMAS Nikolas 100% 26% 3% - - -
65 REICHEL Ezra 100% 95% 72% 38% 11% 2% -
66 TONKOVICH Ryan 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
67 QIU Jay (Tengjie) 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
68 LAM Nicolas 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
69 GREENEBAUM Oliver 100% 69% 22% 3% - - -
70 PINCHENG Yao 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
71 PATRICK Aiden 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
72 ORNELAS Matteo 100% 72% 23% 3% - - -
73 KAREHT Kai 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
74 TAN Youkai (Isaac) 100% 9% - - - -
75 STRUNK Jonathan 100% 86% 42% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.