Goldfinch ROC D1A, D2, Vet, RJC and chair fencing

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, March 26, 2022 at 3:30 PM

SportsPlex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WIECHMANN Colin - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
2 MARRAN Erik R. - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
3 KIM Dylan J. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
3 SERAFIN Ben - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
5 POZOVSKIY Mitchell R. - - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9%
6 HERMANSON David B. - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 21%
7 REDDY Arya 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
8 WEI HUNTER - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 13%
9 SUN Jeffery 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
10 CHEN Jun Ho 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
11 CHATZIKALFAS Dimitris E. - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
12 AYALA Jaime - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
13 FUSSMAN Yuval 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
14 KOYFMAN Benjamin 1% 15% 34% 31% 15% 3% -
15 TEH Steven 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
16 STELTENKAMP Neal 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
17 NABAVI Matthew R. - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 34%
18 MARTINEZ Joshua 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
19 MORTON William - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
20 SHEN Max - - 1% 4% 18% 41% 37%
21 JENNINGS Adin - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
22 WANG Max S 4% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
23 NOVOJILOV Alexei - 2% 9% 25% 36% 24% 5%
24 LAI Aedin 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
25 MING Isaac 5% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
26 HU Robert J. 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
27 OTTO Nathaniel B. 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
28 BADEA Christian 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
29 COETZEE Frans M. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
30 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
31 OSTIGUY Cameron 1% 11% 29% 34% 20% 5% 1%
32 WOLFSOHN Peleg 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
33 ELKAN Raoul 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
34 LEE JoonWon - 7% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
35 WU Hongzhou 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
36 SIMPSON Patrick - - 3% 15% 32% 35% 14%
37 KARASIN Mark - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
38 MARSH Alex 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
39 TORRES Gianni 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
40 MCGUIRK Andrew 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
41 O'HARROW Tristan C. - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
42 XIE Brandon 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
43 PEDERSEN Christopher C. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
44 PRADHAN Aryan 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
45 CHU Brandon A. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
46 HAUPT Tyler (Ty) S. 1% 5% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
47 HIGGASON Hugh 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
48 WANG Eric S - < 1% 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
49 BHATT Krish 6% 23% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
50 KIM Dylan 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
51 STEFANOV Michael A. 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
52 CHOU Benson 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
53 CHEN ANDREW 7% 24% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
54 SIRICO John 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
54 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
56 PARK Patrick 53% 38% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.