Goldfinch ROC D1A, D2, Vet, RJC and chair fencing

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, March 26, 2022 at 3:30 PM

SportsPlex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WIECHMANN Colin 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 24%
2 MARRAN Erik R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
3 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
3 SERAFIN Ben 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
5 POZOVSKIY Mitchell R. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
6 HERMANSON David B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
7 REDDY Arya 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
8 WEI HUNTER 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
9 SUN Jeffery 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
10 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
11 CHATZIKALFAS Dimitris E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
12 AYALA Jaime 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
13 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
14 KOYFMAN Benjamin 100% 99% 83% 50% 18% 4% -
15 TEH Steven 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
16 STELTENKAMP Neal 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
17 NABAVI Matthew R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
18 MARTINEZ Joshua 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 1%
19 MORTON William 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
20 SHEN Max 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 37%
21 JENNINGS Adin 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
22 WANG Max S 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
23 NOVOJILOV Alexei 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 5%
24 LAI Aedin 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
25 MING Isaac 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
26 HU Robert J. 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
27 OTTO Nathaniel B. 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 8% 1%
28 BADEA Christian 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
29 COETZEE Frans M. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
30 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
31 OSTIGUY Cameron 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
32 WOLFSOHN Peleg 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
33 ELKAN Raoul 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 8% 1%
34 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
35 WU Hongzhou 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
36 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
37 KARASIN Mark 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
38 MARSH Alex 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
39 TORRES Gianni 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 5% -
40 MCGUIRK Andrew 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
41 O'HARROW Tristan C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
42 XIE Brandon 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% -
43 PEDERSEN Christopher C. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
44 PRADHAN Aryan 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
45 CHU Brandon A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6%
46 HAUPT Tyler (Ty) S. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
47 HIGGASON Hugh 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
48 WANG Eric S 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
49 BHATT Krish 100% 94% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
50 KIM Dylan 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
51 STEFANOV Michael A. 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
52 CHOU Benson 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
53 CHEN ANDREW 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
54 SIRICO John 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
54 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
56 PARK Patrick 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.