CFC Epee Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, August 21, 2022 at 11:30 AM

Chesapeake Fencing Club - Towson, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 8%
2 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
3 CAO Brad 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
3 SCHULZE Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 16%
5 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 24%
6 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
7 SHREM Samuel G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 17%
8 SERAFIN Ben 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 10%
9 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
10 COLLEY Joshua 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
11 ZHANG Caden 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
12 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 11%
13 LIN Harrison 100% 99% 91% 61% 20% 3% -
14 SAFKO Jeffrey A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
15 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 12% 1%
16 CONLEY Seth 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
17 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
18 HUTZ Michael B. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
19 SINGH Ravin 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 4% -
20 KANG Eunwoo 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
21 SWEET Ryleigh E. 100% 98% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
22 SINGH Aryaman 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
22 AMOLSCH Dylan 100% 79% 35% 7% 1% - -
24 SO Lorenzo 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
25 MOORTHY Gyan 100% 94% 65% 24% 4% - -
26 MURPHY Megan 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1% -
27 SOKOL Luke 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
28 ZHANG Sen 100% 80% 40% 12% 2% - -
29 MCGUIRK Andrew 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
29 HOLLOWAY Donald 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
31 SAFKO Liubov V. 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
32 TOMASZEWSKI Simon 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 2% -
33 ROBERTS Samuel E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
34 CUCCIARRE Pace 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
35 GAMBINO Robert A. 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 15% 2%
36 WIGHT Joseph M. 100% 99% 84% 51% 20% 4% - -
37 GORDON Rachel A. 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
38 BOYKO Frank C. 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
39 WOHNER Kenneth S. 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
40 FOREST Sung 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
41 SMITH Auynha 100% 59% 10% 1% - - - -
42 SEKOWSKI Jane 100% 90% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
43 ASUNCION Arren 100% 93% 62% 22% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.