AFM Competitive Class Competition

Senior Men's Épée

Saturday, January 22, 2022 at 9:00 AM

AFM Sunnyvale - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ALVAREZ Ian 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
2 WEAVER Neil 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
3 SARKAR Anish 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
3 ZHANG Alec 100% 100% 98% 89% 66% 32% 7%
5 WONG Kevin 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
6 KIM Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
7 CHU Allan 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 4%
8 WONG Nathan 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% 1%
9 SHUR Yakov 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 31%
10 AHMED Saheer 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
11 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
12 WATT Darren 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
13 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 97% 84% 54% 23% 5% -
14 SARKAR Agniv 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
15 PALLI Maximillian 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
16 DOWDELL Riley 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
17 ZAYDMAN David 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 18% 3%
18 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 86% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
19 ZHANG Nathan 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
20 ULINICH Alex 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.