Treasure Chest RYC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, January 15, 2022 at 9:00 AM

Treasure Island YMCA - San Francisco, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOGE William P. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
2 DOWDELL Riley 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 20%
3 CASTELLY Luke 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
3 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 20% 3%
5 HE Zhiheng 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 53%
6 SINHA Zaan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
7 SEO Shawn 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
8 TONG Samuel 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 17%
9 BHATT Arjun 100% 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
10 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 28%
11 CASASSOVICI Georges 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 30%
12 LOFTUS Luca 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
13 LEVENTAL Mark 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 31%
14 LIU Noah 100% 98% 84% 47% 12% 1%
15 CHEN Bailey 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 5%
16 HSU Alexander 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
17 NUGENT Jack 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% < 1% -
18 NG Biwon 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% -
19 CHOI Zachary 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
20 YU Austin 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 4%
21 RICHARD silas 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
22 HUSTON Riley 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% -
23 MARTIN Charles 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
24 WU Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
25 HIGGINS Calvin 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
26 LAURIMAA Emil 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
27 LAU Christian 100% 89% 50% 13% 1% -
28 LAU Alex 100% 96% 76% 36% 8% 1%
29 JAIN Samyak 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
30 PARK Sangwook 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
31 ARMITAGE Liam 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% -
32 DODDAPANENI Aarav 100% 95% 73% 33% 6% -
33 WONG Ethan 100% 85% 47% 13% 1% -
34 CHANG Andrew 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
35 APEL Gustaf 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
36 CHENG Trevor 100% 76% 32% 7% - -
37 BAKKEN Archer 100% 80% 36% 9% 1% - -
38 PERKINS Jaray 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
39 RAHMAN Yousef 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
40 RAHMAN Zayd 100% 89% 55% 17% 2% -
41 CLARKSON Moby 100% 62% 18% 3% - - -
42 CHEN Tyler 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
43 SIM Ian 100% 78% 32% 6% - -
44 GUO Woody 100% 96% 74% 34% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.