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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

2022 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, February 5, 2022 at 4:00 PM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Aaron - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
2 NICOLL William - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
3 XU Andy P. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
3 WONG Jackson - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 19%
5 LIU Derek - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
6 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
7 TANG Terry - 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3%
8 UNGERER Roger M. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 6%
9 MATSAKH Philip - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
10 LI Ayren - - 1% 12% 44% 43%
11 CULHANE Dechen 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
12 GHEDINI Luca - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
13 ZHUANG Chuanxuan - - 5% 26% 47% 21%
14 SHAPIRO Leon 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
15 LIU Ryan - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 3%
16 GUTH Joseph - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
17 CHENG Ethan - - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
18 TAN Aidan - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
19 MILLER Jordan - 3% 13% 28% 33% 20% 4%
20 SONG Noel 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2%
21 GERRISH William - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 5%
21 WANG Brian - 3% 15% 32% 32% 14% 2%
23 AKYAMAC Bora 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
24 HIGGASON Hugh - 6% 26% 45% 21% 3%
25 BRENNEMAN Titus 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
26 KAPOOR Aayan - 1% 7% 24% 39% 24% 5%
27 DALBERG Anders 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
28 ZHAO Adam 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
29 LEE Eugene 4% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
30 CHEN Ethan - 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
31 MUNDY Ezra - 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
32 LIU Eric 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
33 WANG Auther - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
34 SCHLACK Jake 6% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
35 ZHANG Lucas 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1% -
36 SION Andrew 2% 14% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
37 BOBROW Silas - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
38 CHUNG Ian 13% 40% 35% 11% 1% -
39 SIMON Luke 2% 14% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
40 LAO Kevin 5% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
41 WONG Jacob W. 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
42 ARUL Girish 15% 41% 34% 9% 1% -
43 BLEIL Tyler 20% 44% 28% 7% 1% - -
44 XIE Jicheng 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
45 BROOKS Matthew 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
46 CROWE Adam D. 15% 49% 28% 7% 1% - -
47 TAE Ryan 10% 29% 33% 20% 6% 1% -
48 BHAN Amar 34% 45% 18% 3% - - -
49 WILSON Eric 24% 45% 26% 5% - -
50 SURESH Rohan 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
51 SHANNON Jack 42% 41% 15% 2% - - -
52 MELESHKO-PETRAKOV Jonathan 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
52 MALHOTRA Siddharth 54% 37% 8% 1% - - -
54 SETHI Parth 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.