2022 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, February 5, 2022 at 4:00 PM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Aaron 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
2 NICOLL William 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
3 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
3 WONG Jackson 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 19%
5 LIU Derek 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
6 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
7 TANG Terry 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3%
8 UNGERER Roger M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
9 MATSAKH Philip 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
10 LI Ayren 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 43%
11 CULHANE Dechen 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
12 GHEDINI Luca 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 48% 13%
13 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 21%
14 SHAPIRO Leon 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
15 LIU Ryan 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
16 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 11%
17 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
18 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
19 MILLER Jordan 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 24% 4%
20 SONG Noel 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
21 GERRISH William 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
21 WANG Brian 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
23 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
24 HIGGASON Hugh 100% 100% 94% 68% 24% 3%
25 BRENNEMAN Titus 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
26 KAPOOR Aayan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 5%
27 DALBERG Anders 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
28 ZHAO Adam 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
29 LEE Eugene 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 1% -
30 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
31 MUNDY Ezra 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 9%
32 LIU Eric 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 4% -
33 WANG Auther 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
34 SCHLACK Jake 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
35 ZHANG Lucas 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1% -
36 SION Andrew 100% 98% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
37 BOBROW Silas 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
38 CHUNG Ian 100% 87% 47% 12% 1% -
39 SIMON Luke 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
40 LAO Kevin 100% 95% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
41 WONG Jacob W. 100% 97% 80% 50% 20% 4% -
42 ARUL Girish 100% 85% 44% 10% 1% -
43 BLEIL Tyler 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% - -
44 XIE Jicheng 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
45 BROOKS Matthew 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
46 CROWE Adam D. 100% 85% 36% 7% 1% - -
47 TAE Ryan 100% 90% 60% 27% 7% 1% -
48 BHAN Amar 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
49 WILSON Eric 100% 76% 31% 5% - -
50 SURESH Rohan 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% -
51 SHANNON Jack 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
52 MELESHKO-PETRAKOV Jonathan 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
52 MALHOTRA Siddharth 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
54 SETHI Parth 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.