April Championship and NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Monday, April 15, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOYLE Jacob C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 34%
2 RODNEY Adam R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
3 HADZIC Alen 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
3 ZHANG Joshua 100% 96% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
5 SMITH Dwight 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
6 CANAUX Gabriel A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 37% 9%
7 KAULL James T. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
8 NOLLNER Dylan 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 22% 4%
9 CULPEPPER John (JR) R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
10 PRYOR Jason A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 7%
11 DUNCAN Corwin 100% 100% 99% 92% 73% 39% 10%
12 CARPENTER Liam 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
13 YOO Justin H. 100% 100% 98% 90% 69% 35% 9%
14 KRAFT Dennis A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
15 VAYSBERG Nathan 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
16 JOHNSON Wesley (Wes) R. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 3%
17 WHITE Sean 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
18 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 16% 2%
18 SCHUMACHER Cooper (Shoey) J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
20 JONES Simon A. 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
21 THOMPSON Soren 100% 100% 99% 96% 82% 51% 16%
22 TSINIS Alexander E. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
23 CANDREVA Hunter R. 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
24 BEKKER Samuel 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
25 BRATTON Benjamin E. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
26 CARNAHAN Garrett M. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
27 COMES Matthew J. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 25% 5%
28 NORTH Gary S. 100% 98% 87% 60% 29% 8% 1%
29 NGUYEN Ethan D. 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% -
30 ZHU Wilson 100% 97% 84% 56% 25% 7% 1%
31 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 15% 2%
32 ZACHARAKIS Darius K. 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
33 THEIN-SANDLER Adrien (Adi) M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18%
34 KOCH Samuel 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
35 SHIFRON Daniel A. 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
36 SHINHOLSTER Michael J. 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 13% 2%
37 RAMIREZ Yeisser 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 5%
38 YERGLER Jonathan A. 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
39 VOLKMANN Daniel R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
40 SPITERI Gareth J. 100% 99% 93% 73% 42% 14% 2%
41 LARSEN Samuel F. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
42 SZAPARY Tristan B. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 9%
43 TOLKACHEV Denis 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 1%
44 RAYLE Evan K. 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
45 HURME Tommi K. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
46 SHERRILL Edward R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
47 MILAM Hugh 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 12% 2%
48 ZMYSLOWSKI Maciek A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
49 HANSEN Jonas B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
50 LOMBARDO Theodore (Teddy) 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
51 MOORE Shomari A. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 10%
52 CHENG Zachary K. 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
53 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 16% 2%
54 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 5% -
55 DE GUZMAN Inaki P. 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
56 BOGERT James BRETT (Brett) 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 22% 4%
57 MARAKOV Allen B. 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
58 YU Colin 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
59 POST Jason 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 3%
60 LEE Woosuk 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% -
61 CAMPBELL Daniel R. 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
62 ZHENG Hagen 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
63 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
64 RUSSANOV Dennis 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
65 WEISS Lewis E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 37% 10%
66 ELASHRY Zeyad A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 23% 4%
67 GAIDAR Daniel B. 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
68 ZUCKER Noah L. 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
68 HILBERT Xavier 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
70 RA Jr. Daniel M. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
71 FREIMAN Samuel (Sam) E. 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
72 MANCINI Christopher M. 100% 90% 61% 28% 8% 1% -
72 LEE Ryan 100% 98% 85% 57% 26% 7% 1%
74 NOWAK Jakub P. 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
75 HOLTZ Donovan K. 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
76 KIM Derek D. 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
77 ELLIS Yehia S. 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
78 BISSINGER Michael P. 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
78 MERCHANT Reza H. 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
80 GANA Thomas A. 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
81 CUMMINGS Atticus C. 100% 97% 81% 51% 21% 5% 1%
82 IVE Isaac L. 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
83 KANG Michael H. 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 2% -
84 LEIGH David A. 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
85 TEPEDELENLIOGLU Mehmet 100% 98% 86% 59% 28% 7% 1%
86 SHIN Joshua 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 13% 2%
87 DOLGONOS Mark 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
88 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
89 SHUGART Henry R. 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
90 LAURON Sean M. 100% 99% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
91 ZHANG Matthew 100% 86% 53% 20% 5% 1% -
92 MALYSZ Anthony J. 100% 95% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
93 CHMUT Anton 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
93 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 100% 93% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
93 KAMBESELES Peter G. 100% 96% 77% 44% 17% 3% -
96 FRANK Timmy 100% 98% 89% 64% 32% 10% 1%
97 FULLERTON Houston T. 100% 90% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
98 WHITE Khristopher E. 100% 96% 80% 49% 20% 4% -
99 SAITOC Tudor 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 7% 1%
100 COX Matthew T. 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
101 LEE Andrew O. 100% 97% 81% 51% 20% 5% -
102 SANTOS Cameron A. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
103 DAO Matthew M. 100% 93% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
103 LEE Timothy S. 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
105 BRADFORD Jack M. 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
105 MUN Michael K. 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
107 KIMATIAN Harrison J. 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 3%
108 WALKER IV Weymouth D. 100% 83% 47% 17% 3% - -
109 MOREAU John A. 100% 93% 67% 32% 10% 2% -
109 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 90% 62% 29% 8% 1% -
111 INSLER Gabriel C. 100% 98% 88% 62% 31% 9% 1%
111 SITBON-TAYLOR Noe B. 100% 91% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
111 GUINAN Joseph 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% 1%
114 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 3%
115 LEAVITT III Philip N. 100% 64% 23% 4% - - -
116 JEONG Connor 100% 92% 66% 33% 10% 2% -
117 RUSSANOV Boris J. 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
118 WANG Nathan 100% 85% 51% 20% 5% 1% -
119 IYOKI Kent 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
120 KUMASHI Mihir R. 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 16% 2%
121 CHA Russell W. 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
122 LEE Aaron Y. 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% -
123 COMER Daniel T. 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
124 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.