The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Thrust Winter RYC RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, February 10, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Suffern, NY - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SZAPARY Tristan B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
2 MERCHANT Reza H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
3 BASOK Daniel 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
3 SHENG Patrick Y. 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
5 MARAKOV Allen B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
6 POLKOVSKY Dylan S. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
7 PAVLENISHVILI David G. 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
8 ZHANG YuJian 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
9 DOUGLAS Colin F. 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
10 WOLF Myles J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
11 KIM Juni C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
12 MUFEL Andrew 100% 100% 90% 58% 20% 3% -
13 ZARETSKY Daniel A. 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
14 KANG Michael H. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
15 RA Jr. Daniel M. 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 5%
16 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
17 KOKENGE Clark 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
18 PAOLINI Nathan R. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
19 ZHENG Hagen 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 10%
20 INSLER Gabriel C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
21 SLAVINSKIY Alan 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
22 RODE Damian E. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
23 KRAVIT Connor B. 100% 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
24 SPANO Gideon S. 100% 100% 93% 69% 31% 7% -
25 MORSE Tyler 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 2%
26 MARRAN Erik R. 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
27 BAKER Kevin G. 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
28 SHINE Peter C. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
29 CHARRON Jack H. 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
30 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
30 MOGILEVICH Michael 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
32 CHILANA Savitoz (Savi) 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
34 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
35 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1%
36 DIAS-LALCACA Kieran P. 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -
37 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
38 RODELL Hunter C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 2%
39 KRENZ Michal A. 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
40 MAROOTIAN Alex S. 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
41 CHOUDHARY Grisham 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% -
42 LUKANYUK Lorence 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1%
43 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
45 LI Brian 100% 90% 54% 17% 3% - -
46 SIDDIQUI Humza K. 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
47 SOOMRO Adam A. 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
48 FENWICK Luke A. 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
49 MARCHANT Albert J. 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
50 SKIFFINGTON Sam 100% 74% 34% 10% 2% - -
51 LAI Coby 100% 85% 39% 10% 1% - -
51 LI Jeffrey 100% 90% 61% 28% 8% 1% -
51 SAMMS-HAY Cameron 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
54 COX Gavin V. 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
57 TONG Chihao 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
58 MISHIMA Torata 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
59 WANG Eric S 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
60 JENNINGS Adin 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
61 ZHANG Franklin 100% 31% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.