AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC (D1A/VET)

Cadet Men's Foil

Saturday, November 5, 2022 at 11:00 AM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIU Aiden - - - - 5% 30% 65%
2 SISINNI Riccardo - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
3 CORTRIGHT Skipper - 2% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
3 DETERING Julian - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
5 FUKUDA Diego - - - 5% 26% 46% 23%
6 NGUYEN Liam - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
6 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - - - - 2% 22% 76%
8 LING Eddie - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 23%
9 MARTIN IV Elmer D. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
10 CANLAS Nathan - - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
10 MORROW Brenden - - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
12 WYMAN Julian - - - - 6% 33% 61%
13 LI Matthew - 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
14 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
15 ZHANG Aaron - 1% 10% 35% 40% 15%
16 DINSAY Kristjan A. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
17 RASMUSSEN Sage - 1% 6% 23% 39% 28% 3%
18 LLIDO Soren - - 2% 16% 43% 34% 5%
19 OH Jaden - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
20 LEE Christopher T. - - 5% 25% 44% 25%
21 SHAGIDANYAN German - 2% 15% 37% 36% 10%
22 NICOLETTI Luca - - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
23 WU Lucas - 1% 7% 27% 41% 22% 3%
23 WU Alber Y. - - 1% 14% 42% 36% 6%
25 DERRICK Blake - - 3% 14% 33% 37% 14%
26 WONG Evan 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% 1%
27 PARK Ryan - 6% 24% 40% 25% 5% -
28 CHAN Ian - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22% 3%
29 MYERS Dean - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
29 LI Samuel - - 2% 14% 38% 37% 9%
31 PARK Rion 1% 10% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
32 ZHOU Ryan 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
33 MA Andrew - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 23%
34 LIU Zixian (Aaron) - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
35 WU Alistair - 1% 6% 24% 42% 24% 4%
36 TONKOVICH Ryan - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
37 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
38 REICHEL Ezra 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
39 GOBBO Alexander - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
40 YI William 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
41 CHEN Justin K. - 1% 13% 38% 37% 11%
42 KETTELLE John 2% 16% 39% 32% 10% 1%
43 PONS Diego - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
44 PARK Steve (Sangmin) - 1% 21% 46% 26% 5% -
45 ZHENG zhe - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
46 LIPPMAN Sam - - 3% 17% 39% 32% 9%
47 WANG Ethan - - 3% 18% 41% 32% 5%
48 NGUYEN Martin - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 5%
49 GORDON William L. 4% 20% 38% 29% 8% 1% -
50 LI Avery Peihong - - - 2% 18% 46% 34%
51 TEH Ryan - 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 5%
52 SAH Steven 7% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
53 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. - 1% 8% 23% 36% 25% 6%
53 LE Jacob H. - 5% 24% 40% 24% 6% -
55 KIM Jonah 22% 48% 25% 5% - - -
56 KIM Daniel Y. 1% 5% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
57 PINCHENG Yao - 4% 21% 40% 27% 7% -
58 CHAN Connor 3% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2% -
59 FINNEY Lorenz - 5% 24% 40% 25% 5%
60 PETERSON Matthew 1% 11% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
61 LEE Jayden 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
62 ZHANG Matthew 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
63 RUBIN Max 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
64 BAEK David - - 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
65 LI Jett - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
66 SMITH Grant D. - 6% 36% 40% 16% 2%
67 TULYAG Azim 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
68 TUAN Evan 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
69 LIU William 3% 22% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
70 GETSIN Anthony 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
71 TALASILA Arush 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% -
72 AGRAWAL Niki 2% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
73 KALAMAS Nikolas 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
74 CHUN Dashel 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
75 TSAY Jordan R. 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
76 LEE Jayden J. - 7% 45% 37% 10% 1% -
77 TSOI Spencer 1% 24% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
78 EDISON Ansel 1% 14% 35% 33% 14% 2% -
79 PARK Sky - 5% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
80 DENG David 1% 26% 44% 23% 5% - -
81 BORG Matthew 5% 27% 41% 21% 5% 1% -
82 AUYEUNG Isaac 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
83 LAM Nicolas 11% 41% 35% 11% 2% -
84 WILLEY Emerson 74% 25% 2% - - -
85 LO Preston 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
86 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
87 GREENEBAUM Oliver 6% 28% 41% 20% 4% - -
88 FLANAGAN Miles 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% 1% -
89 KROVIDI Arush 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
90 MAK Osman K. 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
91 BAE Eugene 40% 43% 15% 2% - - -
92 ORNELAS Matteo 13% 40% 34% 11% 2% - -
92 TKACHUK Daniel 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
94 PETROV Mikhail 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
95 PARK David 6% 37% 40% 15% 2% - -
96 HSIAO Nicholas - 5% 20% 35% 28% 9% 1%
97 COONAN Seamus 69% 27% 4% - - - -
98 LIANG Ethan 29% 60% 11% 1% - - -
99 LU Kevin 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
100 PETERSON Lucas 51% 39% 10% 1% - -
101 ZHAN Kevin 15% 63% 19% 2% - -
102 NGAI Julian 11% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
103 HE Bourne 36% 44% 18% 3% - - -
104 CHANG Nathan 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
105 NISHIHIRA Tyler 12% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
105 BECKER Ethan 61% 37% 2% - - - -
107 LUI Justin 64% 30% 5% - - - -
107 BOYNTON Alex 88% 11% - - - - -
109 LEE Daniel 39% 44% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.