AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC (D1A/VET)

Cadet Men's Foil

Saturday, November 5, 2022 at 11:00 AM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
2 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
3 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
3 DETERING Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
5 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 23%
6 NGUYEN Liam 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
6 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
8 LING Eddie 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
9 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
10 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
10 MORROW Brenden 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
12 WYMAN Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
13 LI Matthew 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
14 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
15 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 15%
16 DINSAY Kristjan A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
17 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 3%
18 LLIDO Soren 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39% 5%
19 OH Jaden 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
20 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 25%
21 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 10%
22 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
23 WU Lucas 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 3%
23 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 42% 6%
25 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
26 WONG Evan 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% 1%
27 PARK Ryan 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 6% -
28 CHAN Ian 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 3%
29 MYERS Dean 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
29 LI Samuel 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 9%
31 PARK Rion 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
32 ZHOU Ryan 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
33 MA Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
34 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
35 WU Alistair 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28% 4%
36 TONKOVICH Ryan 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
37 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
38 REICHEL Ezra 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
39 GOBBO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
40 YI William 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
41 CHEN Justin K. 100% 100% 99% 86% 48% 11%
42 KETTELLE John 100% 98% 82% 43% 11% 1%
43 PONS Diego 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
44 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 100% 100% 99% 78% 31% 5% -
45 ZHENG zhe 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
46 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
47 WANG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37% 5%
48 NGUYEN Martin 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5%
49 GORDON William L. 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1% -
50 LI Avery Peihong 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 34%
51 TEH Ryan 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 5%
52 SAH Steven 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
53 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
53 LE Jacob H. 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 6% -
55 KIM Jonah 100% 78% 31% 6% - - -
56 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
57 PINCHENG Yao 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 7% -
58 CHAN Connor 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
59 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 5%
60 PETERSON Matthew 100% 99% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
61 LEE Jayden 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
62 ZHANG Matthew 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
63 RUBIN Max 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
64 BAEK David 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 6%
65 LI Jett 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
66 SMITH Grant D. 100% 100% 94% 58% 18% 2%
67 TULYAG Azim 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
68 TUAN Evan 100% 95% 72% 37% 10% 1%
69 LIU William 100% 97% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
70 GETSIN Anthony 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
71 TALASILA Arush 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% -
72 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 98% 76% 37% 10% 1% -
73 KALAMAS Nikolas 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
74 CHUN Dashel 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
75 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6% -
76 LEE Jayden J. 100% 100% 93% 48% 11% 1% -
77 TSOI Spencer 100% 99% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
78 EDISON Ansel 100% 99% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
79 PARK Sky 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
80 DENG David 100% 99% 72% 29% 5% - -
81 BORG Matthew 100% 95% 68% 27% 5% 1% -
82 AUYEUNG Isaac 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% - -
83 LAM Nicolas 100% 89% 48% 13% 2% -
84 WILLEY Emerson 100% 26% 2% - - -
85 LO Preston 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
86 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
87 GREENEBAUM Oliver 100% 94% 66% 25% 4% - -
88 FLANAGAN Miles 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
89 KROVIDI Arush 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
90 MAK Osman K. 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
91 BAE Eugene 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
92 ORNELAS Matteo 100% 87% 47% 13% 2% - -
92 TKACHUK Daniel 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
94 PETROV Mikhail 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
95 PARK David 100% 94% 57% 17% 2% - -
96 HSIAO Nicholas 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
97 COONAN Seamus 100% 31% 4% - - - -
98 LIANG Ethan 100% 71% 11% 1% - - -
99 LU Kevin 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
100 PETERSON Lucas 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
101 ZHAN Kevin 100% 85% 21% 2% - -
102 NGAI Julian 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
103 HE Bourne 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
104 CHANG Nathan 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
105 NISHIHIRA Tyler 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
105 BECKER Ethan 100% 39% 2% - - - -
107 LUI Justin 100% 36% 5% - - - -
107 BOYNTON Alex 100% 12% - - - - -
109 LEE Daniel 100% 61% 17% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.