Santa' Revenge Post-COVID 1

Div II Mixed Épée

Sunday, December 4, 2022 at 12:45 PM

Nova Fencing Club - Falls Church, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ABBOUD Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
2 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
3 HULL Liam 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
3 CARNALL Hunter 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
5 PENNER Kyle D. 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
6 SO Lorenzo 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
8 MODANLOU Navid 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
9 FU Ethan 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 10%
10 TRITHART Jacob M. 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 22% 2%
11 ZHANG Andy 100% 100% 97% 87% 60% 27% 5%
12 PETROW Zoryan 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
13 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
14 BLACK Ethan 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
15 ROTHKA Spencer J. 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
16 VICKERMAN Sofia 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% -
17 PALAMARCHUK Andriy 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 22% 4%
18 MEGGERS Davin 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% -
19 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
20 WU Shaochi 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
21 WEIDMAN Jess 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
22 MEGGERS Samuel 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 6% 1%
23 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
24 HVIDING Ketil 100% 100% 96% 68% 27% 4%
25 ARMSTRONG Gary 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
26 ALI Farhan 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
27 GARCIA Carlos 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
28 ROINIOTIS Theodore 100% 89% 55% 21% 4% - -
29 DREYER Nadia S. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
30 EVANS Allen L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
31 MORA Genesis R. 100% 99% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
32 PILIPOWSKYJ Luke 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
33 VICKERMAN Lilly 100% 95% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
34 SZYMCZYK Lex 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 52% 12%
35 FRENCH Phaelen 100% 80% 41% 13% 2% - -
36 GANTSOUDES Isaac 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
37 PANE Patrick 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
38 SJOBERG Samuel 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 3%
39 CANDELARIA Armando 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
40 BUI Ryan 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9% 1%
41 HUEY Curtis E. 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
42 SAMPAIO Beatriz 100% 46% 9% 1% - -
43 DIAZ Brenna 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 7% 1%
44 NAZIRALI Syedeen 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
45 VADDE Prateek 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
46 VADDE Pranav 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
47 WEST Dale 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
47 VICKERMAN Aspen 100% 95% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
49 LAZURAN Daniel 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
50 THORN Evan 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
51 PETRY Luke 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
52 VENCILL Nicholas 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
53 STERLING Henry 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
54 ERBER Liberty 100% 96% 67% 23% 3% -
55 MARTIN Audrey 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.