The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

The Southern RYC/RJCC/ROC (D1A/DV2/VET) & Non-Regional Team

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, December 17, 2022 at 1:30 PM

John T. Rhodes Myrtle Beach Sports Center - Myrtle Beach, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Byron 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 14%
2 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
3 CHEN Wesley 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
3 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
5 CHOO Joseph W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
6 SHIN Sung (Andy) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
7 WANG Maxwell L. 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 6%
8 MANZ Hamilton R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
9 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 32%
10 JOSEPH William 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
11 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
12 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
13 BROWN Joshua (Josh) A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 8%
14 FU Ethan 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
15 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
16 RACHEL Dylan 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
17 NOWAK Jakub P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
18 NALLAMSHETTY Ayan 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
19 AMOROSO John 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
20 SAKO Ayrton J. 100% 97% 74% 35% 8% 1%
20 HUTTO Joshua 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 4%
22 JACKSON James 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 4%
23 MODULLA Yathin R. 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
24 VALES Keyan 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 5%
25 HAN Ethan 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
26 LIN Harrison 100% 99% 90% 58% 15% -
27 SINGH Aryaman 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1% -
28 SCHARF Ryan 100% 100% 98% 80% 38% 9% 1%
29 MALIKOV Zinnun 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% - -
30 ZHANG Caden 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2%
31 CUI Jack 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3%
32 MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
33 SARIKONDA Akhil 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
34 WANG Bryan 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
35 CAI Brian 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 33% 3%
36 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
37 KENT Dwain 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6%
38 DAVIS Jonah 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% - -
39 DOAN Joseph M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 18%
40 DAN Rex 100% 91% 54% 18% 3% - -
41 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 98% 78% 40% 10% 1%
42 IFORD Andrew W. 100% 79% 35% 6% - -
43 PATEL Kushal 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% -
44 HU Robert J. 100% 84% 44% 10% 1% -
45 VACCARO Dominick J. 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
46 CHUNG Joshua 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% -
47 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 2% -
48 HONG Ryan 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
49 AWAN Saqlain A. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
50 CHOI David 100% 53% 8% - - - -
51 MALONE Jacob 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
52 SMALLWOOD Jaylon 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24% 1%
53 HEINZE Luke H. 100% 71% 27% 5% - -
54 HE Lingyun Matthew 100% 43% 9% 1% - -
55 LEE Aiden 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
56 LIU Dylan Y. 100% 99% 90% 46% 11% 1% -
57 DILLE Brice 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
57 JUNG Joshua 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
59 PAK Joel 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
60 JUNG Elliot 100% 82% 37% 8% 1% - -
61 DILLE Jackson K. 100% 96% 74% 35% 7% -
62 SCHIAVONE Oreste 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% -
63 LE Kevin 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
64 MCDANIEL Eamon 100% 86% 48% 13% 1% -
65 SMITH Christopher 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4% -
66 KE Sebastian 100% 66% 14% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.