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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
Maria Panyi (1), Andrey Geva (2), Igor Chirashnya (3), and Sue Moheb (4).

The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, December 17, 2022 at 1:30 PM

The Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SEEFELDT William Henry C. - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
2 SANCHEZ Emanuel - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
3 ELHUSSEINI Dylan - - - 2% 15% 43% 39%
3 CARDENAS Lucas 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
5 KIM Sullivan - - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
6 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
7 SANTOS Antonio K. 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
8 ELHUSSEINI Kyle - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
9 VINOTH Aaron - 1% 8% 23% 36% 26% 7%
10 KIM Jayden - - 1% 8% 30% 44% 17%
11 OBERDERFER Vladimir - 4% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
12 SANTOS Francisco M. 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
13 BARG Jonathan - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
14 KHANNA Nikhil - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
15 GAITHER Christopher W. - 2% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
16 ROMANOV Ethan - - 2% 13% 33% 38% 14%
17 YUE Hongrui - - 1% 4% 20% 42% 33%
18 YANG Boyan - - - 1% 10% 36% 52%
19 KIM Ian - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
20 KIM Minjae - - 3% 15% 35% 37% 9%
21 LIU Yikun - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
22 ESHONKULOV Aziz 14% 37% 33% 14% 3% - -
23 HERNANDEZ Cole F. - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 2%
24 KIM Taeho 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
25 GRAMMATIKOV Michael - 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
26 YU Austin 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 6% 1%
27 ZIEGLER John - 6% 23% 37% 25% 7% 1%
28 LEE JiYuen 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
29 CHUTKAY Sai Pratham 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
30 MIAO KUNQI - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
31 DADE MAXIMUS 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
32 ESKRIDGE Caleb - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4%
33 GRAVES Lawson - 1% 9% 29% 39% 18% 3%
34 EMMERT JP 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
35 MANGAN Hunter 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
36 XIONG Aaron - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
37 LI zerong 1% 10% 31% 37% 17% 3% -
38 KIM Teddy 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
39 DOWD Peter L. 8% 33% 38% 17% 3% - -
40 VAN VACTER Thomas 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
41 RAO Neil 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
42 GINZBURG Adam 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% -
43 COHEN Nathan 3% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1% -
44 VEERAVALLI Vivek 4% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1% -
45 TRACY James 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
46 YALAMANCHILI Anvith 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% 1% -
47 HOWARD Paolo 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
48 DECKER Hunter 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
49 WANG Joey - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
50 RICE Timothy 8% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
51 OBREBSKI Kevin 24% 40% 26% 9% 2% - -
52 GILSBACH Ben 31% 44% 21% 4% - - -
53 PETROVICH Alexandar 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% - -
54 KARIDIS-SCHNEIDER Samuel 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
55 DACHELET Sawyer 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
56 REHUREK Luke 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 5% -
57 FERGUSON Corban 5% 32% 40% 19% 4% - -
58 HAWLEY Justin 35% 43% 18% 4% - - -
59 PEREZ Daniel 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
60 VANDEVER Aiden 6% 38% 38% 15% 3% - -
61 SOOS Whitman 16% 43% 31% 9% 1% - -
62 MEHROTRA Neel < 1% 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.