The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, December 17, 2022 at 1:30 PM

The Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
2 SANCHEZ Emanuel 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
3 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
3 CARDENAS Lucas 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
5 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
6 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
7 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
8 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 9%
9 VINOTH Aaron 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
10 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 17%
11 OBERDERFER Vladimir 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
12 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
13 BARG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
14 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
15 GAITHER Christopher W. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
16 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
17 YUE Hongrui 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
18 YANG Boyan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
19 KIM Ian 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
20 KIM Minjae 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 9%
21 LIU Yikun 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
22 ESHONKULOV Aziz 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
23 HERNANDEZ Cole F. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 19% 2%
24 KIM Taeho 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
25 GRAMMATIKOV Michael 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
26 YU Austin 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% 1%
27 ZIEGLER John 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
28 LEE JiYuen 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
29 CHUTKAY Sai Pratham 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
30 MIAO KUNQI 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
31 DADE MAXIMUS 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% - -
32 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
33 GRAVES Lawson 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 21% 3%
34 EMMERT JP 100% 96% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
35 MANGAN Hunter 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
36 XIONG Aaron 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
37 LI zerong 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3% -
38 KIM Teddy 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
39 DOWD Peter L. 100% 92% 59% 21% 4% - -
40 VAN VACTER Thomas 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
41 RAO Neil 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
42 GINZBURG Adam 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6% -
43 COHEN Nathan 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
44 VEERAVALLI Vivek 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
45 TRACY James 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
46 YALAMANCHILI Anvith 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
47 HOWARD Paolo 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
48 DECKER Hunter 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
49 WANG Joey 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
50 RICE Timothy 100% 92% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
51 OBREBSKI Kevin 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
52 GILSBACH Ben 100% 69% 25% 5% - - -
53 PETROVICH Alexandar 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
54 KARIDIS-SCHNEIDER Samuel 100% 86% 50% 18% 3% - -
55 DACHELET Sawyer 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
56 REHUREK Luke 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% -
57 FERGUSON Corban 100% 95% 63% 23% 4% - -
58 HAWLEY Justin 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
59 PEREZ Daniel 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
60 VANDEVER Aiden 100% 94% 56% 18% 3% - -
61 SOOS Whitman 100% 84% 41% 11% 1% - -
62 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.