Fairfax Challenge SYC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, April 30, 2017 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort & Convention Center - Miami, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUO Jessica Zi Jia - - - 3% 17% 43% 38%
2 KOO Rachel A. - - 1% 11% 41% 47%
3 KIM Rachael - 9% 30% 37% 20% 4%
3 MAK Tinney - 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
5 LAM Justina - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
6 TALAVERA Daena - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
7 MASSICK Laine 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
8 TUCKER ALARCON Ariadna C. - 1% 11% 32% 40% 16%
9 HORSLEY Asherah - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
10 JING Alexandra - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
11 SLOWINSKI Maia A. 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
12 APELIAN Katherine - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
13 ZHENG Ivy - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
14 JING Emily - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
15 BOODELL Ella - - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
16 LEE Allison (Allie) 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2%
17 BAROCHIA Meera 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
18 RASO Sofia G. - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
19 SERBAN Samantha M. 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
20 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca - 5% 18% 35% 32% 11%
21 SCHATZ Kristina J. 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 4%
22 YE Eileen - 4% 20% 39% 29% 6%
23 MCKEE Alexandra K. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
24 ZHENG Vivian 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
25 KAGANOVICH Katerina S. - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
26 PAPADAKIS Lily - 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
27 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. - - 3% 22% 54% 20%
28 SHEN Annabel 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
29 HALL Velma - 2% 12% 28% 35% 19% 4%
30 VONA Elena M. - 2% 16% 35% 33% 13% 2%
31 LUNG Katerina - - 6% 26% 44% 22% 2%
32 PO Edith 2% 20% 38% 28% 10% 2% -
33 CHUNG Rachel J. 1% 10% 31% 38% 19% 2%
34 LEE Montana 2% 22% 43% 27% 5% -
35 DAVIA Daniella V. 1% 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
36 LESLIE Ryanne T. - - 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
37 PALMER Meredith K. - 2% 11% 33% 37% 15% 2%
38 CHO Lorin Y. 4% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
39 CAPLIN Harriet R. 11% 35% 37% 15% 2% -
39 HOLLE Aviella S. 7% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1%
41 HAN Jaewon(Leah) 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
42 HU Allison C. 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
43 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 2% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
44 CHEN Kelly - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
45 BAKER-ROSENBERG Raynor S. 10% 35% 38% 15% 2% - -
46 LAM Victoria M. 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
47 SHAW Kayla M. - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
48 XU Christine 7% 30% 39% 20% 4% -
49 LING Michelle 4% 25% 40% 24% 6% -
50 APELIAN Gabriella G. 22% 44% 27% 7% 1% -
51 LONG Madeline M. 7% 29% 40% 21% 3% -
52 RASO Olivia 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
53 ABD-ELMONIEM Nusayba K. 56% 38% 6% - - - -
54 KOROTCOVA Anastasia 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
57 RENTON Samantha 25% 45% 25% 5% - -
57 KOENIG Charlotte R. 4% 24% 44% 23% 5% -
57 LIN Emma 31% 43% 21% 4% - -
60 LA VALLEY Paloma 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
61 CHO Claire E. 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
62 HECKMANN Emma 2% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1%
63 SHEN Sophia 16% 47% 31% 6% - - -
64 WERBACH Esther 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.