The Battle of the Bay ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, February 5, 2023 at 9:00 AM

The Fencing Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DETERING Julian - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
2 LI Raphael C. - - - - 3% 26% 71%
3 DESAI Nalin H. - - - 1% 8% 39% 53%
3 OTAKE Jared K. - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
5 WYMAN Julian - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
6 SUNG Chang-Han S. - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
7 MCCOSH Evin M. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
8 LING Eddie - 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3%
9 BERMENDER Cameron - - - 1% 12% 43% 43%
10 CANLAS Nathan - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
11 MA Andrew - - 2% 13% 40% 40% 6%
12 JAIN Aditya - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
13 ANDERSON Jacob - 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% 1%
14 JAUME Andrei - 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 4%
15 LE Jacob W. - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 8%
16 FUKUDA Diego - 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 4%
17 KIM Ryan Y. - - - 2% 14% 43% 40%
18 LI Matthew - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
19 HOBSON Aaron K. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
20 KIM Daniel Y. 1% 29% 43% 22% 5% - -
21 HOSKERI Anik S. - 1% 10% 32% 40% 15% 2%
22 SCHEUERMANN Andrew G. - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
23 SEAL Maximus R. - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
24 ZILINSKIY Eduard - - - 5% 25% 49% 22%
25 MORROW Brenden - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
26 EDISON Ansel 4% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
27 SETLUR Bhrugu - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
28 LI Jett - 3% 15% 34% 34% 12% 1%
29 GORDON William L. 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
29 LAM Nicolas 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
31 KIM Jonah 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% - -
32 GETSIN Anthony 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
33 WANG Ethan - - 2% 13% 31% 37% 17%
34 TUAN Evan 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 3% -
35 MA Bryant - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
36 HARRIS Otto - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
37 KIM Aiden - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9% 1%
38 RASMUSSEN Sage - 5% 20% 36% 30% 8% 1%
39 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
40 WU Lucas - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
41 VAN SCOYK Aeron I. - - 3% 14% 34% 37% 11%
41 NGAI Julian 6% 27% 39% 22% 4% - -
43 LIU Aaron 46% 41% 11% 1% < 1% - -
44 FULTON Richard A. - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 9%
45 NG Kenneth - 9% 32% 39% 17% 2% -
46 CLAYMAN John A. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
47 SMITH Grant D. - 7% 27% 38% 23% 5% -
48 MEDVIDOVIC Pavle 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 2% -
49 CHAN Connor 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
49 WONG Evan 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
51 KALAMAS Nikolas 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
52 PARK Brandon 1% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
53 GONZALEZ Matthew 1% 27% 43% 23% 5% - -
54 CRACRAFT John R. 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
55 SEEDS Edward T. - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
56 RUBIN Max 12% 38% 34% 13% 2% - -
57 TANG xianchi 7% 29% 37% 20% 6% 1% -
58 PETERSON Lucas 42% 41% 15% 2% - - -
59 LIU William 12% 37% 35% 14% 2% - -
60 KHER Roan 2% 16% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
61 SAH Steven 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
62 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
63 BAEK David - 16% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
64 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 1% 18% 41% 31% 10% 1% -
65 GREENEBAUM Oliver 16% 39% 32% 11% 1% - -
66 BOUCHARD Kai 5% 35% 39% 17% 4% - -
67 TSAY Jeremy M. - < 1% 1% 6% 26% 47% 21%
68 AGRAWAL Niki 7% 33% 38% 18% 4% - -
69 ADAMS Cedric 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
70 LUONG Allen - 1% 7% 26% 43% 22% 2%
71 CHUN Dashel 35% 43% 18% 3% - - -
72 LEE Jayden J. 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 2% -
73 MAK Osman K. 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
74 LUI Justin 89% 10% - - - - -
75 BECKER Ethan 73% 24% 3% - - - -
76 NISHIHIRA Tyler 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
77 LIANG Ethan 91% 9% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.