The Battle of the Bay ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, February 5, 2023 at 9:00 AM

The Fencing Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DETERING Julian 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
2 LI Raphael C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
3 DESAI Nalin H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 53%
3 OTAKE Jared K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
5 WYMAN Julian 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
6 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
7 MCCOSH Evin M. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
8 LING Eddie 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
9 BERMENDER Cameron 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 43%
10 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
11 MA Andrew 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45% 6%
12 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
13 ANDERSON Jacob 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 8% 1%
14 JAUME Andrei 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
15 LE Jacob W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
16 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 4%
17 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
18 LI Matthew 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
19 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
20 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 99% 70% 27% 5% - -
21 HOSKERI Anik S. 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16% 2%
22 SCHEUERMANN Andrew G. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
23 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 6%
24 ZILINSKIY Eduard 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 22%
25 MORROW Brenden 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
26 EDISON Ansel 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
27 SETLUR Bhrugu 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
28 LI Jett 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13% 1%
29 GORDON William L. 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
29 LAM Nicolas 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
31 KIM Jonah 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
32 GETSIN Anthony 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
33 WANG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
34 TUAN Evan 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3% -
35 MA Bryant 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
36 HARRIS Otto 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
37 KIM Aiden 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 10% 1%
38 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% 1%
39 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
40 WU Lucas 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
41 VAN SCOYK Aeron I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
41 NGAI Julian 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% - -
43 LIU Aaron 100% 54% 13% 1% < 1% - -
44 FULTON Richard A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
45 NG Kenneth 100% 100% 90% 58% 19% 3% -
46 CLAYMAN John A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
47 SMITH Grant D. 100% 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% -
48 MEDVIDOVIC Pavle 100% 98% 83% 49% 14% 2% -
49 CHAN Connor 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
49 WONG Evan 100% 98% 83% 49% 18% 3% -
51 KALAMAS Nikolas 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
52 PARK Brandon 100% 99% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
53 GONZALEZ Matthew 100% 99% 72% 29% 5% - -
54 CRACRAFT John R. 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
55 SEEDS Edward T. 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
56 RUBIN Max 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% - -
57 TANG xianchi 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
58 PETERSON Lucas 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
59 LIU William 100% 88% 51% 16% 3% - -
60 KHER Roan 100% 98% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
61 SAH Steven 100% 83% 44% 14% 2% - -
62 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
63 BAEK David 100% 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
64 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 99% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
65 GREENEBAUM Oliver 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
66 BOUCHARD Kai 100% 95% 60% 21% 4% - -
67 TSAY Jeremy M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 21%
68 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 93% 60% 22% 4% - -
69 ADAMS Cedric 100% 97% 77% 41% 11% 1% -
70 LUONG Allen 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24% 2%
71 CHUN Dashel 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
72 LEE Jayden J. 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
73 MAK Osman K. 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
74 LUI Justin 100% 11% - - - - -
75 BECKER Ethan 100% 27% 3% - - - -
76 NISHIHIRA Tyler 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
77 LIANG Ethan 100% 9% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.