2023 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, February 4, 2023 at 12:00 PM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KUGLER Luke - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
2 DURKIN Hudson - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 26%
3 LIU Adam 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 13% 2%
3 MEN Junda - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
5 SONG Troy - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
6 RATUSHNYI Georgii - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
7 SINGLETON Aman 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3%
8 KIM Henry 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
9 ATKINS Levi H. - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
10 LI Jade 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% < 1%
11 ROLAND Mackinley - 2% 12% 31% 36% 16% 2%
12 CHEN Jayden 1% 13% 35% 35% 13% 2%
13 CAO Ray - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2%
14 NILSEN Mark 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1%
15 ZENG Andrew - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
16 DOUBOV Andrew 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
17 DEGRUCCIO Johnny 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
18 XIA Dashan - 1% 7% 27% 43% 23%
19 SEOW Daniel - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
20 WONG Maximus - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
21 FEINBERG James Y. 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
22 GLUSHKOV David 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
23 SCHAUER Oliver - 3% 15% 31% 34% 15% 1%
24 FENG Shang - 4% 15% 30% 31% 17% 4%
25 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 11% 40% 35% 12% 2% -
26 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
27 NAKAS Levent - - < 1% 1% 8% 35% 56%
28 LI Morgan 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
29 MARIN Ayan N. 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
30 KRAUSS Judah 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
31 LI Ray 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
32 WANG-SONG Evan 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
33 OCONNOR Paul 16% 36% 31% 14% 3% - -
34 NOVOJILOV Daniel 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
35 KANG Brandon 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
36 NORMILE Nicholas 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 7% 1%
37 TESFAYE Elias 24% 39% 26% 9% 2% - -
38 NOOL Alexander 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
39 BARATY Teagan 48% 40% 11% 1% - -
40 AHMED Mohsen 16% 39% 31% 12% 2% - -
41 FOGEL Jake 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.