Richard F Oles Memorial Charm City Classic Div 1A ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, December 14, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Catonsville, MD - Catonsville, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ARCHER Kristjan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
2 LIMA Kevin M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
3 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 12%
3 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
5 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 7%
6 RITCHIE Luke W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 44%
7 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
8 TIAN Aaron C. 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13% 1%
9 POLANSKY Solomon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 36%
10 GORDON Jacob 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
11 PHILPOT Evan E. 100% 100% 95% 69% 24% 2%
12 PAULSON Connor M. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
13 GU Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
14 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 100% 93% 68% 33% 8% 1%
15 MCOWEN Peter D. 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
16 RINEHART Conner M. 100% 98% 80% 40% 10% 1%
17 O'BRIEN Jack K. 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
18 GISLER Benjamin B. 100% 96% 76% 41% 11% 1% -
19 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12%
20 SELL Ethan J. 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
21 CRAYTON Royce S. 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
22 ROUNTREE Rob 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 2%
23 LIU Eric Y. 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1%
24 ALLAMPALLAM Maanav V. 100% 92% 56% 18% 3% -
25 DABNEY Justin 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
26 MULLIGAN Timothy (Tim) D. 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
27 EVANS Aidan 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2% -
28 HENSLEY Todd 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 1% -
29 JUSTUS Benjamin 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
30 MCKEVITT Conner M. 100% 98% 80% 42% 11% 1% -
31 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 100% 89% 52% 15% 2% -
32 DRESSEL Jet 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
33 GAO William 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% - -
34 GRISWOLD Doug 100% 97% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
35 SHEA William 100% 75% 31% 6% - - -
36 WANG Waley 100% 74% 30% 5% - -
37 ROSEBERRY Daniel 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% - -
38 YOUNG William 100% 91% 60% 24% 4% - -
39 ROGERS Windell 100% 27% 3% - - - -
40 HERNANDEZ Agustin 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.