Morris Cup Spring RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, March 19, 2023 at 12:00 PM

SportsPlex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAI Boden - - - - 3% 25% 72%
2 CHEN Leonardo - 1% 8% 28% 44% 20%
3 STAUDINGER Enzo - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
3 LAM Alan - - - - 5% 33% 61%
5 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
6 DOUBOV Andrew - 4% 19% 38% 31% 9%
7 WONG Maximus - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
8 KRAUSS Judah - 5% 19% 37% 30% 8% 1%
9 ZENG Andrew - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
10 SHOUSHA Hamza - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
11 TESFAYE Elias 8% 36% 38% 15% 2%
12 KUGLER Luke - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
13 NORMILE Nicholas 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
14 SONG Troy - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 27%
15 FENG Shang - 2% 12% 33% 37% 15%
16 BLACK Zachary - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 3%
17 ATKINS Levi H. - - 1% 13% 41% 45%
18 KARIMOV Amir 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
19 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
20 JIANG Matthew - - 1% 9% 32% 45% 12%
21 CHOU Benson - 7% 28% 43% 22%
22 SINGLETON Aman - 2% 13% 38% 38% 10%
23 CHEN Jayden 1% 13% 37% 37% 12%
23 FLORES Theodore 4% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
25 LIU Ethan 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
26 HAO Yucong - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
27 ALABI Tobi - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
28 LYCHKO Maksym - 4% 22% 42% 27% 5%
29 SHETTY Mihir - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
30 DEGRUCCIO Johnny 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
31 MALHAM Andrew 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
32 LIN Zizhen 1% 13% 36% 37% 13%
33 LI Morgan 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
34 KANG Brandon 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
35 RATUSHNYI Georgii - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
36 AHMED Mohsen 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
37 GAO Victor 8% 30% 38% 19% 4% -
38 NOVOJILOV Daniel 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
39 FEINBERG James Y. 7% 29% 39% 20% 5% -
40 WANG-SONG Evan 8% 29% 38% 20% 4% -
41 PATHAK Arush 1% 17% 41% 31% 9% 1%
42 GAO Andrew - 5% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
43 ROSIELLO Francesco 16% 44% 30% 9% 1% - -
44 HELMY Richard 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
45 LIU Simon 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
46 YAO Jack 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
47 SHCHUR Grayson - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
48 GLUSHKOV David 3% 17% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
49 MILINKOVIC Maksim 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
50 NOOL Alexander 17% 39% 32% 11% 1% -
51 LI Ray 7% 43% 38% 11% 1% -
52 ANAFI Ari 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
53 KLINKENBERG Patrick 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% -
54 LI Ryan 36% 43% 18% 3% - -
55 JAYME Antonio 51% 38% 10% 1% -
56 LI Jade 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
57 LUR'YE Killian 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -
57 LEE Benjamin 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
59 BARATY Teagan 9% 33% 37% 17% 3% - -
60 OCONNOR Paul 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
61 FENG Xinmin 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
62 CAFASSO Alexander 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1%
63 TSIEN Richard 70% 27% 3% - - -
64 BO Genero 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.