Morris Cup Spring RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, March 19, 2023 at 12:00 PM

SportsPlex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAI Boden 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72%
2 CHEN Leonardo 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
3 STAUDINGER Enzo 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 3%
3 LAM Alan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
5 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 45%
6 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9%
7 WONG Maximus 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
8 KRAUSS Judah 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9% 1%
9 ZENG Andrew 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
10 SHOUSHA Hamza 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
11 TESFAYE Elias 100% 92% 55% 17% 2%
12 KUGLER Luke 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
13 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
14 SONG Troy 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 27%
15 FENG Shang 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
16 BLACK Zachary 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 3%
17 ATKINS Levi H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
18 KARIMOV Amir 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 2%
19 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
20 JIANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 12%
21 CHOU Benson 100% 100% 93% 65% 22%
22 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 10%
23 CHEN Jayden 100% 99% 86% 49% 12%
23 FLORES Theodore 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
25 LIU Ethan 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
26 HAO Yucong 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
27 ALABI Tobi 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
28 LYCHKO Maksym 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 5%
29 SHETTY Mihir 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
30 DEGRUCCIO Johnny 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
31 MALHAM Andrew 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 4%
32 LIN Zizhen 100% 99% 86% 50% 13%
33 LI Morgan 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
34 KANG Brandon 100% 98% 88% 61% 29% 7% 1%
35 RATUSHNYI Georgii 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
36 AHMED Mohsen 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
37 GAO Victor 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% -
38 NOVOJILOV Daniel 100% 87% 52% 17% 2% -
39 FEINBERG James Y. 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% -
40 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
41 PATHAK Arush 100% 99% 82% 41% 9% 1%
42 GAO Andrew 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
43 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 84% 40% 10% 1% - -
44 HELMY Richard 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
45 LIU Simon 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
46 YAO Jack 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
47 SHCHUR Grayson 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 15% 2%
48 GLUSHKOV David 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
49 MILINKOVIC Maksim 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
50 NOOL Alexander 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
51 LI Ray 100% 93% 50% 12% 1% -
52 ANAFI Ari 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
53 KLINKENBERG Patrick 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% -
54 LI Ryan 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
55 JAYME Antonio 100% 49% 11% 1% -
56 LI Jade 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
57 LUR'YE Killian 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
57 LEE Benjamin 100% 83% 47% 17% 3% - -
59 BARATY Teagan 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
60 OCONNOR Paul 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
61 FENG Xinmin 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
62 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
63 TSIEN Richard 100% 30% 4% - - -
64 BO Genero 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.