DCFC Champagne Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, March 26, 2023 at 10:00 AM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHELANSKI Isaac 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
2 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
3 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
3 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
5 CARPENTER Liam 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
6 DICKENS Robert W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
7 TIKHONOV Iliya 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 22% 3%
8 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
9 CHEN Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
10 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
11 HITCHCOCK David 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 20%
12 WHEELER Daniel 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
13 TAMULONIS Fen C. 100% 100% 92% 63% 24% 4% -
14 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
15 LEE Aiden 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
16 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3% -
17 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
18 CARTER Austin L. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
19 AYMETT Robert (Skip) S. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
20 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 2%
21 SO Lorenzo 100% 97% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
22 DEUCHER Joseph H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
23 CHEN Brian 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3% -
24 WEICHT Wesley W. 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
25 ROBERT Oliver 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
26 JACKSON James 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 1%
27 STEPHENS Corbin 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 6% -
28 HEARNE Gavin 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
29 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
30 HARDY Tristan L. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 20% 3%
31 DAN Rex 100% 95% 59% 20% 3% - -
32 HULL Liam 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
33 PALAMARCHUK Andriy 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
34 EVANS Allen L. 100% 86% 46% 12% 1% -
35 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 100% 60% 17% 2% - -
36 GAUVEY Ken C. 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
37 MODANLOU Navid 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
38 ASHER Valerie 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
39 ZELENSKY Paul 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
40 BOGDANOVSKAYA Elizaveta 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
41 BUI Ryan 100% 27% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.