Fortune Fencing SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 25%
2 SHAN Junzhe 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 79%
3 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
3 DONG Haiyi 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33%
5 NAEMI Barsam 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 7%
6 TAI Edison 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
7 WANG Joey 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
8 FEI Victor 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
9 TANG Zheng 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 7%
10 MULCAHY Sebastian 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
11 GUO Woody 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 15% 2%
12 MAXU Tiger 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
13 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
14 KIM Alexander 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
14 CHAN JR Jason 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
16 WONG Baron 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 15%
17 LEE Damien 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
18 LIANG Donny 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 7%
19 WU Johnny y. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 7%
20 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27% 2%
21 HSU Joshua 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
22 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
23 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
24 CLAES Thomas 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 12%
25 KIM Julian 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 6%
26 WANG aaron 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
27 WU Steven 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
28 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
29 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35% 3%
29 CHUNG YEONSUN 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
31 LEE Royce 100% 100% 98% 86% 48% 11%
32 FU Adrian 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
33 KIM Remington 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
34 CHEN Aiden 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
35 TANG Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
36 RODOCANACHI Hector 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 7%
37 SU Samuel 100% 100% 94% 72% 38% 11% 1%
37 XUE Michael 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
39 RONG Marcus 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
40 SHI jingxuan 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
41 DAI Steven (Chengwen) 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11% 1%
41 MANA Sameer 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
43 WU Nathan 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
44 AUYEUNG Aedan Ho lam 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% -
45 TUBALTSEV Evan 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 19% 2%
46 DENG haoyu 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
47 WANG Devin 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
48 KOFMAN David 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
48 BROWN Korbyn 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
50 FU Nolan 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
51 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
52 WOOLCOCK Cash 100% 76% 32% 6% - -
53 AVETISIAN Michael 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
54 JAO Aaron 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3% -
55 VOO Lucas 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
56 MA Ciel 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
57 GADHVI Darius 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
58 HARRIS Hayden 100% 100% 99% 85% 44% 11% 1%
59 STREAM Logan 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
60 JIANG Aaron 100% 93% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
61 QIU William 100% 82% 38% 8% 1% -
62 WONG Alexander 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
63 KURUGANTI Vivaan 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
64 DING Max 100% 96% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
65 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 4% -
66 LIU Max 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
67 JAMES Kaden 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1% -
68 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
69 MA Ryan 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
70 SUROV Alexander 100% 100% 97% 85% 59% 26% 5%
71 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
72 LI Bryan 100% 65% 22% 3% - - -
72 ZHANG Joshua 100% 99% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
74 KIM Evan 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1% -
75 DU Evan 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
76 SHIH Derek 100% 85% 40% 10% 1% - -
77 MA kevin 100% 92% 58% 20% 3% - -
78 MA Nolan 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
79 LIU Xuyao 100% 87% 49% 13% 1% -
80 LIU Zicheng 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
81 MOSLEY Wally 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
82 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
83 MARZBANI Zehl 100% 80% 41% 13% 2% - -
84 LIU Aiden 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
85 HUA Nolan 100% 91% 53% 16% 2% - -
86 WU MiEr 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
87 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 71% 28% 5% - - -
88 PISCITELLO Aleksandr 100% 54% 13% 2% - - -
89 WONG Vansen 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
90 SUNWOO Blake 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
91 WANG Lucas 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% 1%
92 CHUNG Sawyer 100% 65% 25% 5% 1% - -
92 YU Brandon 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
92 CHEN Christopher 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
95 BAI Hang Qi 100% 99% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
96 FERRIERE Theo 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% - -
97 DAYMAN Ryan 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.