3rd Annual Sword in the Stone RYC & RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, February 24, 2019 at 8:30 AM

Thousand Oaks, CA - Thousand Oaks, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 JEON Alexander E. 100% 99% 87% 54% 16%
2 JEONG Connor 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
3 DAO Matthew M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
3 VELO Juan Manuel H. 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
5 MAENG Jake W. 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5%
6 COMER Daniel T. 100% 97% 77% 39% 9%
7 THOMPSON Chester 100% 96% 73% 36% 9% 1%
8 LEE Alexander G. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
9 NORBUTAS Jackson S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
10 WANG Nathan 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
11 ZHU Max 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
12 WELLS Tommy R. 100% 97% 79% 42% 10%
13 USHER Alexander 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
14 KOSLU Aidan D. 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% -
15 LIANG Aaron 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
16 AHN Gus 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
17 GHILDIYAL Manyu 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
18 FEES HOLDEN 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
19 MOHEBI Saam 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
20 SMITH Zane A. 100% 95% 72% 35% 8% 1%
20 MENDOZA Zachari 100% 100% 94% 73% 34% 6%
22 SCHENCK Theo 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
23 WOMACH Tristan 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
24 MATTIS George 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1%
25 ZIEBART Jeremy J. 100% 94% 68% 28% 5%
26 SOOHOO Jackson F. 100% 68% 25% 5% -
27 FOREMAN Alexander E. 100% 84% 49% 17% 3% -
28 KIM Sterling S. 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
29 GILLISON Edward L. 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.